Here's the shakeout from my survivor pool last week. Really could use some help on a pick this week/meta-gaming this. I'm in 5th place with 231 here:
For ease, teams I can't pick: BUF, BAL, LAR, ARZ, PHI, WSH, TEN, CIN, NO, DET, JAX
Kind of kicking myself for not taking LAC and taking JAX with that QB situation. Oh well. One of only 4 people without a strike right now, so got a good shot at this. Entry $20, first prize about $3k.
Matchups this week that look possible:
MIN (18) @ DET - coin toss game
LAC (25) @ DAL - not thrilled about taking LAC here despite DAL getting blown out
KC (8) vs BUF - Figure KC has a good chance of bouncing back, especially if BUF is stupid enough to start the INT-machine again
CAR (17) @ NYJ - CAR looks like the best pick to me. Current leader can't pick CAR, and the 7 people immediately behind me can't either.
IND (15) vs TEN - ehhhh I can't really see picking the Colts vs anyone
OAK (7) vs DEN - probably a safe low-value pick, same as KC
and really that's it. It's an ugly slate of options this week for sure.
Teams I could see the current leader taking: KC, OAK. Outside shot they take NYJ.
3 people directly in front of me, add CAR to that. Guessing that's the way they go - would prefer if they go with a safer low-value pick and I can jump them if I pick CAR and hit.
My week 13 pick is going to be LAC (25) vs CLE. Anyone who already picked LAC is going to take CHI (29) vs SF -- would be great if the 49ers pulled a miracle here. Saving CHI for later.
Other likely picks going forward for me:
Week 14: ??? CLE (32) @ home vs Rodgersless GB? maybe NYJ (30) @ DEN. Ugly week here too.
Week 15: MIN (18) vs CIN. Could go CAR (17) vs GB here if I save them this week. Basically pick either MIN or CAR week 12, then the other one this week. MIA (20) @ BUF also a possibility.
Week 16: CHI (29) vs CLE
Week 17: depends on board, who is sitting starters, if I need to stay in front or take risks.