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2017 Fantasy Baseball Thread 2017 Fantasy Baseball Thread

05-12-2017 , 01:32 AM
I just got offered Salazar and a 22nd round pick for a 16th round pick.

I had to google his name and see if they just announced he's out for the season or not.

Snap accept.
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05-12-2017 , 09:56 AM
Berrios called up. Idk, whatever. Picked him up but am not getting tricked into thinking he's the second coming again

In other news Valencia seems to finally have his head out of his ass
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05-12-2017 , 10:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cs3
I still take Salazar over Keuchel. Probably Pineda too, if just for the Ks.
Not really buying Keuchel's resurgence to be honest.
93% strand rate is absurd so that will drive his ERA up when it normalizes.
His Ks are down well under 8K/9for the 2nd year in a row. FIP is almost identical to last year. Definitely expect some regression, and his ERA is likely to be cloer to 4 than sub-3 going forward. Id much rather sell him than buy.
2015 / 2016 / 2017

K/9 8.38 / 7.71 / 7.67
FIP 2.91 / 3.87 / 3.41
xFIP 2.75 / 3.53 / 2.96
SIERA 2.84 / 3.77 / 3.11
Soft% 25.2 / 21.1 / 28.1
Hard% 21.3 / 29.8 / 21.6
GB% 61.7 / 56.7 / 64.4
SwStr% 10.3 / 9.6 / 11.1

To each his own and I'm not necessarily buying sky-high (if I didn't already own him), but this pessimism is unfounded as K/9 and FIP are like the very worst stats you can possibly reference. All other metrics put him much closer to 2015 than to 2016.

Obviously the 1.69 ERA is lol unsustainable but baseballs have no memory, and his skill stats indicate a very solid RoS outlook. He's a significant dog to have a sub-3 ERA of course, as are most pitchers outside of the big three. But I'd classify him as a near elite SP2 option going forward.

In IP limit leagues he's less valuable than in GS limit leagues--I'll grant that for sure.
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05-12-2017 , 11:15 AM
yea he is a tough guy to evaluate by traditional metrics. i heard people stopped nibbling at his marginal outside pitches last year but that didn't bear out in o swing%. guesd his MO and most important metric is gb% which is doing fine
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05-12-2017 , 11:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by StoppedRainingMen
Berrios called up. Idk, whatever. Picked him up but am not getting tricked into thinking he's the second coming again

In other news Valencia seems to finally have his head out of his ass
From what I've heard, his struggles before was FB command in majors, and not much has changed. Gonna wait and see imo
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05-12-2017 , 11:41 AM
Also, JD Martinez pushed up and activated (since Tigers lost an OF last night), I wouldn't put him in your lineups right away until he shows he's back
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05-12-2017 , 04:39 PM
Grab knebel now if you need a closer. Guys got the stuff to be elite
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05-12-2017 , 05:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwreckshop
Grab knebel now if you need a closer. Guys got the stuff to be elite
Feliz was one of the more puzzling signings going into this season for this very reason. It also looked for a while like Barnes was the next man up. I think Knebel's leash will be unreasonably short.
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05-12-2017 , 05:42 PM
It will be short, but he's been top 5 guy in S/H leagues this far and if he keeps up what he's doing he'll run away with the job. Pretty pumped about it cause I just traded lol hill for him about 5 days ago
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05-12-2017 , 08:25 PM
Biagini could actually be interesting if he gets fully stretched out
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05-12-2017 , 09:38 PM
still alarmed about duffy

still confused about harvey
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05-12-2017 , 10:16 PM
No idea what to make of Duffy either.
All his peripherals have gone the wrong way, but somehow he's still managing to get results. I think this might be prime time to sell
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05-13-2017 , 12:40 AM
I'm yet to get a response on a fantasy question in this thread but I really need one here.

I can get Nelson Cruz for Aaron Judge.

Standard 5x5 with Ks and OPS.

I feel like I should snap accept, right?
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05-13-2017 , 12:47 AM
Absolutely!
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05-13-2017 , 12:51 AM
yeah do that for sure

and i feel your pain on the no responses

buncha leeches ITT
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05-13-2017 , 12:58 AM
Sigh he made the offer in our league group text and then started taunting me when I didn't respond. So I msg'd him privately and he said he'd do it and then changed his mind ten seconds later.
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05-13-2017 , 01:01 AM
lol what a clown.

chirp him back in the group chat for sure.
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05-13-2017 , 01:16 AM
hate it when that happens, just rub the judge dongs in his face
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05-13-2017 , 01:28 AM
Need some help just determining if I have any leaks right now in the big keeper league i'm in - specifically roster construction and holes that need to be filled. This is the 6x6 keeper I posted a bunch about before the season.

6x6, 12 teamer - R,HR, RBI, SB, AVG, and OBP /// ERA, WHIP, QS, K's, Holds, Saves

Current Roster:

C - Weiters
1B - Freeman
2B - Altuve
3B - Goatnado
SS - Machado
2B/SS - Wong/Solarte
1B/3B - Suarez
OF - Springer
OF - Pollock
OF - JD Martinez
OF - Tomas
UTIL - Pillar
UTIL - Logan Morrison
Bench - Wong/Solarte

DL - Donaldson

P - Colome (saves)
P - Kintzler (saves)
P - Knebel (saves)
P - Dunn (holds)
P - Robles (holds)
SP - David Phelps (SP/RP holds guy)
SP - Tyler Duffey (SP/RP holds guy)
SP - Cmart
SP - Carrasco
Bench - Stras
Bench - Pineda
Bench - Walker
Bench - Robbie Ray
Bench - Jesse Hahn

DL - Melancon

Currently in first by a little bit (roto) but there are four other teams within 10 points that all have really good lineups as well. Here are the following roto points I have

R - 10
HR - 9
RBI - 5 (not sure how this is possible with the lineup I have)
SB - 12
AVG - 10
OBP - 8

K's - 9.5
QS - 4 (low on starts compared to rest of league and it is super close so this will go up)
SV - 7.5
Holds - 9.5
ERA - 9
WHIP - 12

Thoughts? I'm still planning on sitting tight and think I've got the S/H strategy locked up pretty well with 4 closers and 2 other holds guys getting them out of my SP slots. Have also been tempted to ship one of my stud keepers (altuve/arenado/machado) for like 3 hitters that couldn't be kept to lock up those categories or maybe 2 hitters and a pitcher.
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05-13-2017 , 09:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwreckshop

Current Roster:

1B - Freeman
2B - Altuve
3B - Goatnado
SS - Machado
mother of god
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05-13-2017 , 09:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwreckshop
Need some help just determining if I have any leaks right now in the big keeper league i'm in - specifically roster construction and holes that need to be filled. This is the 6x6 keeper I posted a bunch about before the season.

6x6, 12 teamer - R,HR, RBI, SB, AVG, and OBP /// ERA, WHIP, QS, K's, Holds, Saves

Current Roster:

C - Weiters
1B - Freeman
2B - Altuve
3B - Goatnado
SS - Machado
2B/SS - Wong/Solarte
1B/3B - Suarez
OF - Springer
OF - Pollock
OF - JD Martinez
OF - Tomas
UTIL - Pillar
UTIL - Logan Morrison
Bench - Wong/Solarte

DL - Donaldson

P - Colome (saves)
P - Kintzler (saves)
P - Knebel (saves)
P - Dunn (holds)
P - Robles (holds)
SP - David Phelps (SP/RP holds guy)
SP - Tyler Duffey (SP/RP holds guy)
SP - Cmart
SP - Carrasco
Bench - Stras
Bench - Pineda
Bench - Walker
Bench - Robbie Ray
Bench - Jesse Hahn

DL - Melancon

Currently in first by a little bit (roto) but there are four other teams within 10 points that all have really good lineups as well. Here are the following roto points I have

R - 10
HR - 9
RBI - 5 (not sure how this is possible with the lineup I have)
SB - 12
AVG - 10
OBP - 8

K's - 9.5
QS - 4 (low on starts compared to rest of league and it is super close so this will go up)
SV - 7.5
Holds - 9.5
ERA - 9
WHIP - 12

Thoughts? I'm still planning on sitting tight and think I've got the S/H strategy locked up pretty well with 4 closers and 2 other holds guys getting them out of my SP slots. Have also been tempted to ship one of my stud keepers (altuve/arenado/machado) for like 3 hitters that couldn't be kept to lock up those categories or maybe 2 hitters and a pitcher.
sick brag bro
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05-13-2017 , 04:08 PM
I need some advice here.
I've got JA Happ, Manaea & Ian Kennedy on my team (All on the DL right now), which one is the most expendable in your opinions?
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05-13-2017 , 04:15 PM
Probably keep Happ in a wins league and Kennedy in a QS league.
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05-13-2017 , 04:16 PM
this is a h2h 5x5 standard league.
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05-13-2017 , 04:29 PM
Kennedy is most expendable
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