Quote:
Originally Posted by StoppedRainingMen
Off the top of my head while at gym:
1. Trout
2. Harper. The only argument against is you don't trust his health, but he's in a better position now than he was last year where his ADP was 1.5. Turner and Eaton >>>>>> Revere and whoever else it was, his shoulder is by all accounts fine and he's still only just now entering his prime. Before he hurt his shoulder he was pacing some GOAT equity ****
Think you're absolutely insane. Hurt or otherwise, the entire league knew he was opening his shoulder and despite the obviousness of the problem, he wasn't able to adjust. That's not to say he absolutely won't, but taking him over Mookie and Arenado, both more or less sure things, is a massive mistake. Also, wouldn't count on a repeat of the stolen base total.
Quote:
Originally Posted by StoppedRainingMen
3. Betts. Entering prime, doesn't swing and miss. Saw less strikes last year hitting in front of Ortiz than he did 2 years ago. Save for his slow start carried a .230+ ISO each month except the end of the season when his knee was hurt. Floor lower than trout but I sincerely believe at this point he has the greater ceiling (no fault of trout's mind you, the angels just flat suck)
4. Bryant
5. Arenado
6. Altuve
7. Machado
8. Goldschmidt
9. Rizzo
10. Blackmon
Much as i hate early pitching, if Kershaw is available at 10, your league is undervaluing SPs and you're not catching up with Blackmon as your anchor for a traditional balanced-offense 70-30 draft approach. No way he's the right pick.
Think you may be overestimating the depth of 1B and underestimating the MI depth this year.
I prefer Arenado to Bryant, but meh.
Quote:
Originally Posted by StoppedRainingMen
Hilariously underrated:
Freeman. I spent most of last season ****ting on this guy cuz I'm an idiot. Hard to overstate how amazing a hitter he was after the slump. He seems to be the cano of 2017 in inexplicable 4th round ADP for clear 2nd round value
Villar: as cs3 said the Turner love combined with villar underrating makes no sense. 2b, 3b, ss eligibility, and a .313 babip on grounders for someone as fast as him is hardly outrageous. My only concern with him is his HR/FB rate especially combined with how few fly balls he hits. That's where his average, homers and RBI could drop but still, high runs, high steals, decent average and 3 position eligibility make him inherently valuable
Desmond: I don't think this needs explaining. I would have expected his ADP to be late first early second and would have had zero problem drafting him there. 4th-5th round ADP is lol. Guy I'm gonna target in the 3rd, early 4th til that's corrected
Gomez: he was ****ing outstanding in Texas and Milwaukee, horrible in Houston. Given how many hitters have been horrible in Houston and amazing elsewhere I'm willing to. It hold that against him
Upton: I'm going to regret this
Morales: he is going to CRUSH. He's not gonna be encarnacion obviously but the dropoff won't be big enough to where he's going to be anything but value where he's taken
Guys I'm fading:
Donaldson: really have no idea what to make of this. Have a hard time justifying using a 1st on him. Was pretty mediocre in the 2nd half, losing encarnacion doesn't help, Saunders and his sweet obp is gone, bats is another year older, Toronto just seems top to bottom weaker by enough that it's just not sensible using a 1st on him
Posey: no ****ing way
To be continued
Gomez's Texas sample size was way too small to give him anywhere near the credit you seem to be, imo. I'd expect better than his Houston numbers, but sure wouldn't assume he'll be all the way back.
Villar's .373 BABIP scares me and the 19.6% HR/FB scares me more. The combination seems unsustainable, though 10 HRs and 50 SB wouldn't be the end of the world.
Cano was a special circumstance, with the stomach bug he suffered in 2015 doing some real damage that everyone conveniently forgot (I was a big advocate last year). Agree that Freeman's going a little too low, though.
Upton is the cupcake:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pxG4yd8U3U
As for Donaldson, think the R/RBI dropoff is fair, but the 2nd half fade was about a bad hip that seems likely to be a non-issue to start the season. I have him 10 right now.