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2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. 2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread.

05-11-2016 , 10:30 PM
Andy Sulivan, Matt Fitz could be good ones.

Steve wheatcroft hasn't missed a cut in a while and he's playing tommorow for the first time, this is also his home town/course, at 5500 could be worth to squeeze into GPP's?

Russle Henley and John Senden : )
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
05-12-2016 , 12:57 AM
Word is Kuchar is sick, people on rotogrinders scrambling to get him out.
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05-12-2016 , 07:28 AM
Last few weeks, I've faded most of the top tier guys for the 2nd tier, sub $10k guys.

IMO no need for that this week with the reasonable pricing imo, can fit in 1 or 2 chalk favorite options per roster plus not have to fish from the bottom half of the Tour, e.g., guys teeing off as sub 250-1 options on the sportsbooks.

This week for me: 30 unique GPP rosters with this 14 player core: Day, McIlroy, Spieth, Stenson, Matsuyama, Grace, Zach Johnson, Willet, Holmes, Horschel, Holmes, Donald, Fitzpatrick, and Ryan Moore.

Maybe a little wide distribution for a core group give I've only got 30 bullets, plus ownership on all these guys will be high so uniqueness will be low, so things will have to go perfect for a decent score imo.
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05-12-2016 , 07:41 AM
Sergio & Rory are my two high owned players. I'm surprised Stenson was so high, only have him in one lineup.

I'm loaded up on Horschel & Grace as well. Which isn't too bad at like 12-15%

Some Donald, Oosthuizen, Jacobson & Choi who have pretty low ownerships.
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05-12-2016 , 08:29 AM
I think Stenson was a sort of chalky, obvious play because:

- great player, perceived 'value' was high -- OWGR #6, went off ~#6 in sportsbook odds average at 25-1, roughly the same Vegas price as Rose, Scott and Sergio but was the cheapest DK price in that tier
- great course history
- MC last week might have scared off some squares, making him an even more enticing play

No way he wasn't going to be 20%+ in GPPs imo.
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05-12-2016 , 11:12 AM
I thought he would be around 20% just not higher owned than Rory & Sergio.
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05-12-2016 , 12:08 PM
went all in stenson which looks horrible
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05-12-2016 , 12:14 PM
lol yeah oops on Stenson, seems like last week's MC was more signal than noise.

Still obviously a solid player and this course can be scored on, maybe he gets **** figured out on the range today, goes low tomorrow. Better odds with him than a mediocre player.
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05-12-2016 , 02:23 PM
ha yeah hope so, pretty much a long shot at this point
wasn't worried about his performance last week but something must be wrong with him for sure

also had Smylie 100% @ the Zurich, at least I could enjoy Thursday that week....

Last edited by TWhelan; 05-12-2016 at 02:31 PM.
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05-12-2016 , 03:23 PM
The only lineup I have Stenson in is also the only one where I have Haas.
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05-12-2016 , 04:09 PM
Ya I have too much stenson and now feel bad
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05-13-2016 , 08:53 AM
Super busy moving and stuff so fired in a last minute line up in the drive the green. Completely forgot about it until today. Sitting 750.

Day
DJ
Tringale
Berger
Walker
Weisberger
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05-13-2016 , 12:09 PM
Of course I talked myself into swapping knost for Hearn at the last minute
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05-13-2016 , 12:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BadBoyBenny
Of course I talked myself into swapping knost for Hearn at the last minute


Ha! I was just about to congratulate you on the Knost pick.

Happens to all of us. Sometimes the last minute tinker is the worst thing and sometimes it is the best.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
05-13-2016 , 02:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sluss
Happens to all of us. Sometimes the last minute tinker is the worst thing and sometimes it is the best.
Well, folks, when you're right 52% of the time, you're wrong 48% of the time.
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05-14-2016 , 10:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Last few weeks, I've faded most of the top tier guys for the 2nd tier, sub $10k guys.

IMO no need for that this week with the reasonable pricing imo, can fit in 1 or 2 chalk favorite options per roster plus not have to fish from the bottom half of the Tour, e.g., guys teeing off as sub 250-1 options on the sportsbooks.

This week for me: 30 unique GPP rosters with this 14 player core: Day, McIlroy, Spieth, Stenson, Matsuyama, Grace, Zach Johnson, Willet, Holmes, Horschel, Holmes, Donald, Fitzpatrick, and Ryan Moore.

Maybe a little wide distribution for a core group give I've only got 30 bullets, plus ownership on all these guys will be high so uniqueness will be low, so things will have to go perfect for a decent score imo.
Alot of Day + ZJ + 2 dudes cut per lineup going to result in some min cashes and a small -ROI GPP week for me imo. Top end picks went fine (well, Stenson and Spieth are ****) -- but whiffed on all the sub $7500 guys (Holmes, Fitzpatrick, Donald, Moore).

Cash going better but going to be a mediocre week for me. GL to the rest of you over the weekend, with Day + affordable options in the top 10, going to be some optimal Day+Rory+scrub stacks crushing it imo.

Last edited by DVaut1; 05-14-2016 at 10:32 AM.
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05-14-2016 , 06:39 PM
Leading a 34 man double up event with a lineup of Garcia, Matsuyama, Goosen, Donald, Reed, Wilett.

Kind of mind blowing because I'm somehow in 1st place but don't have the leader and only have 3 guys who made the cut with no hole in ones or other funny business.
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05-14-2016 , 11:55 PM
Greens are crazy fast lol Couldn't believe how night and day things went.
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05-15-2016 , 07:58 AM
Yeah it was a bloodbath for my 6/6 lineup & I actually moved up.
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05-15-2016 , 08:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LiveActionPro
Greens are crazy fast lol Couldn't believe how night and day things went.
Seems like the morning tee times when it's softer/slower have been gold throughout the tournament so we're seeing things like Knost go 72-62-74 (afternoon-morning-afternoon) or Tringale go 65-69-75 (morning-afternoon-afternoon) and whatever.

All the good rounds yesterday (e.g, Duke, Matsuyama) were tee times earlier in the day.

Day's in a commanding lead and I don't see that changing but you might see another day of huge swongs because the course is going to play softer earlier then get fast later.
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05-15-2016 , 09:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1

All the good rounds yesterday (e.g, Duke, Matsuyama) were tee times earlier in the day.
Not so much, Because they finished the third round yesterday and went off two sets of tees again Duke finished maybe an 45 minutes to an hour ahead of the last group. Pretty much everyone was playing in the afternoon
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05-15-2016 , 02:22 PM
I can't find one pick with Duke in it lol looking at the top fifty picks of a few events .. Is it possible, not ONE person picked him ? Lol
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05-15-2016 , 02:42 PM
http://www.thefantasyfanatics.com/df...fm?viewTID=551

you can say he was low owned.
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05-15-2016 , 05:30 PM
I can't think of a week where I felt so much like I wasn't doing well but ended up winning so much.

I hit several double ups with only 3 or 4 guys.

Even though I dumped Knost for Hearn, Hearn birdied 5 of the last 6 and put up 76.5 points
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05-17-2016 , 01:15 PM
This will be the first week I put the cheapest player into a lineup.

Have to have Will in one lineup. I don't think he can win but he could make the cut.
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