As I alluded to in this
thread I'm in the process of doing some range work on a variety of flops. I'm starting with 3-bet pots where I'm the small blind and button RFI's.
Janda in NLHFAP listed 20 flops he looks at when doing this type of analysis. Over time as plan allows I hope to work through all 20 in this spot and other common spots.
What I'd like from readers:
- In your mind is this exercise useful
- Are my conclusions in this one example reasonable
- Would you do anything different
- Does anything seem odd
The first flop is Ah-Kh-4c. I'm assuming 100 BB deep.
To do this exercise I needed to determine V's range. To do that I used my 10NL database, about 50k hands found population numbers. The relevant numbers are:
- Button RFI's 30% of time.
- BTN's calling range is 53%
- BTN's 4! range is 6%
- Does anything seem odd
My SB 3! range is: 15%
V's 3! call range is 15.8%. The green cells are mixed - some calls some raises:
Here is what I came up with:
- C-betting 75% of pot 35% of the time. With a 1.08 B:V ratio.
- C/R all in a few combos. .33 B:V ratio
- Check calling any ace or king vs 1/2 pot
- No smaller bet size to balance
For what it is worth I think I'm close to balanced both on leads (1.08 vs 1.06) and check raises (.33 vs .5).