As I alluded to in this thread I'm in the process of doing some range work on a variety of flops. I'm starting with 3-bet pots where I'm the small blind and button RFI's.

Janda in NLHFAP listed 20 flops he looks at when doing this type of analysis. Over time as plan allows I hope to work through all 20 in this spot and other common spots.

What I'd like from readers:

1. In your mind is this exercise useful
2. Are my conclusions in this one example reasonable
3. Would you do anything different
4. Does anything seem odd

The first flop is Ah-Kh-4c. I'm assuming 100 BB deep.

To do this exercise I needed to determine V's range. To do that I used my 10NL database, about 50k hands found population numbers. The relevant numbers are:

1. Button RFI's 30% of time.
2. BTN's calling range is 53%
3. BTN's 4! range is 6%
4. Does anything seem odd

My SB 3! range is: 15%


V's 3! call range is 15.8%. The green cells are mixed - some calls some raises:


Here is what I came up with:

1. C-betting 75% of pot 35% of the time. With a 1.08 B:V ratio.
2. C/R all in a few combos. .33 B:V ratio
3. Check calling any ace or king vs 1/2 pot
4. No smaller bet size to balance

For what it is worth I think I'm close to balanced both on leads (1.08 vs 1.06) and check raises (.33 vs .5).

If you ran this in a sim oop is more likely to prefer a large sizing with check backs

that being said, if you want to go the range bet route on this texture you're likely going to need to do a 25% psb and just x/f the bottom portion of your range (like T9dd or something)