Lets suppose hero OR in BTN, Villain calls BB.
Ranges:
Hero:22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q7s+,J8s+,T7s+,96s+,86s+,75s+,6 4s+,54s,A2o+,KTo+,Q9o+,J9o+,T8o+,97o+,87o,76o
Villain:TT-33,A9s-A2s,KJs-K3s,Q9s-Q8s,J9s-J8s,T7s+,96s+,85s+,75s+,64s+,53s+,A9o,A5o-A4o,KJo-KTo,QTo+,JTo
Board:8dAh2s
Pot:10
Equity hero:72.01%
General advise (pio, snowie, my experience...) here is checking back, but studying the hand in detail i get that the most EV movement is betting (lets suppose we are betting 50% pot)
We have:
EV check = Equity * pot-->EV=7.201
EV when we bet-->we can divide it in 3 parts, EV_bet_fold,EV_bet_win, EV_bet_lose
Lets suppose villain is going to fold 62.79% calling TT-99,8h8s,8h8c,8s8c,53s+,Ad9d,As9s,Ac9c,As8s,Ac8c,Kh 8h,Ks8s,Kc8c,Qh8h,Qs8s,Qc8c,Jh8h,Js8s,Jc8c,Th8h,Ts 8s,Tc8c,9h8h,9s8s,9c8c,Ad7d,As7s,Ac7c,8h7h,8s7s,8c 7c,Ad6d,As6s,Ac6c,8h6h,8s6s,8c6c,Ad5d,As5s,Ac5c,8h 5h,8s5s,8c5c,Ad4d,As4s,Ac4c,Ad3d,As3s,Ac3c,Ad2d,Ac 2c,Ad9h,Ad9s,Ad9c,As9d,As9h,As9c,Ac9d,Ac9h,Ac9s,Ad 5h,Ad5s,Ad5c,As5d,As5h,As5c,Ac5d,Ac5h,Ac5s,Ad4h,Ad 4s,Ad4c,As4d,As4h,As4c,Ac4d,Ac4h,Ac4s
Hero equity vs this range is 41.58%
EV_bet_fold = %fold * pot-->6.279
EV_bet_win = %call * equity_vs_call * final_pot-->0.372* 0.4158 * 20 = 3.09
EV_bet_lose = %call * (1-equity_vs_call) * bet-->0.372 * 0.5842 * 5 = 1.08
Then, EV_total = EV_fold+EV_bet_win -EV_bet_lose = 8.289, which is greater than the EV_check.
I can imagine that i am doing something wrong, but i dont know what, any ideas, please?
Last edited by rpqlej; 09-10-2018 at 02:27 PM.