Quote:
Originally Posted by goldFishshark
This is probably not the best thread to ask, but how can you confidently determine that flushes aren't (or even most likely aren't) in somebody's range?
Just from getting a feel for (or notes/stats on) how someone plays their draws, you can often eliminate various combos. Player pool tendencies are also pretty useful.
If you know someone
always c-bets their flopped FDs, but you're in a spot where he checked back the flop, you can rule flushes out of his range on the river.
e.g. Suppose an ABC villain is on the button and you defended with Ah 5c in the BB.
Flop comes 2s 8h 5h, and villain checks back. Turn is an offsuit king. You check again, villain delay c-bets 1/2p, you call with 3rd pair. River is the Th, so the front door flush draw got there. You sometimes win with 4th pair if villain checks back, if he was just bluffing on the turn, but suppose villain bets smallish again. Your hand is less likely to be winning now. But you're pretty sure he doesn't have a flush, because:
a) He usually c-bets his flush draws.
b) You have the nut flush blocker.
Villain's range appears to be capped at KT (top two), but he can also be going for thin value with AK/KQ/KJ. So you check-raise the river. He takes a long look at his KQ and then folds the best hand, because he's certain that you have the flush.
EDIT: Visual version
BB just turned 4th pair into a bluff, and BTN is about to fold top pair.
Last edited by ArtyMcFly; 09-11-2017 at 02:19 PM.