There are some slightly significant card removal effects due to this being a BvB spot (and you obviously block AA and KK strongly), but if you want to calculate your equity vs villain's range, you should just make your best guess of what villain's stack-off range is in this spot.
e.g. If you were playing against Snowie, I think its 4b/call off range for this spot is as wide as 55+, AJs+, AQo+, KQs.
Against that range, AKo has 49% equity.
A typical 10NL player is likely to have a much tighter/stronger 4b/call range. If they stack TT+,AQs+,AKo then you're down to 43%.
Whatever the case, AK is a standard stack off for me in this spot, even at 2NL.
There are some slightly significant card removal effects due to this being a BvB spot (and you obviously block AA and KK strongly), but if you want to calculate your equity vs villain's range, you should just make your best guess of what villain's stack-off range is in this spot.
e.g. If you were playing against Snowie, I think its 4b/call off range for this spot is as wide as 55+, AJs+, AQo+, KQs.
Against that range, AKo has 49% equity.
A typical 10NL player is likely to have a much tighter/stronger 4b/call range. If they stack TT+,AQs+,AKo then you're down to 43%.
Whatever the case, AK is a standard stack off for me in this spot, even at 2NL.
Thank Arty,
Is it possible to quantify the odds of a 9 being folded from UTG-BTN and the odds of an Ace/King not being folded? Like is there a program that can help or can we do it manually?
What you're asking for as far as card removal due to preflop open ranges is going to be super negligible. You could figure it out but the time you would spend would be far better off spent elsewhere.
There may well be software out there that can tackle this type of problem, but I am not aware of any.
Also, given specific ranges of folded hands it may be possible to analytically derive frequencies of folded cards. Or, as I and others have done over the years, this is fairly easy to simulate.
2+2's Software forum may be able to answer the first question and 2+2's Probability forum may be able to answer the second question.