I'm currently working again through the book Applications in No Limit Hold'em. At the end of the chapter "defending by raising: the value bluff ratio on the flop" I came up with a confusing question/thing
I won't explain the parameters since I would take a lot of space and I guess most of you know the book anyways.
They gave an example of the equation of how many bluff combos you need to add if you raise with nut flush draws with 47% equity.
X*0,47 + 0.2*(1-X) = 0,389
Endresult is that we have a ratio of 2.3 valueraises for every 1 bluffraise.
I did the same equation with an OESD, where on a dry board against (for simplification reasons) 50% value hands and 50% bluffcatchers in villains range I get 44% equity.
Now here's the interesting part, when I solve this equation:
X*0,44 + 0,2 * (1-X) = 0,389
I get a ratio of 3.75:1 - that's quite astonishing for an equity change of - 4%!
I got a understanding questions now:
What does this equation actually tell me? Haha
Since ~39% of my flop bets have to be value bets, this equation tells me how many times I semi-bluff in these 39% when I have, in this example 44% equity?
Or does it simply tell me if I am raising here it needs to be 3.75 (or 79%) times for value with better hands and one time(21%) with a bluff? Here I don't know why the 39% are even in the equation.
I hope you understand my question and can help me out, I'm a bit lost of what I'm actually doing here