This was strictly a theoretical situation (not from game play) as I'm trying to get a better idea of which hands can continue in three bet pots.
Cutoff (Hero) opens to 3bbs, BB raises to 10bbs, Hero calls. Pot = 20.5bbs.
BB cbets 12 bbs on flop:
C bet = 12bbs
Minimum defense = 40% (37% rounded up to allow for equity)
Flop comes: K 9 8
Total combos in our range: 122
Desired combos defended: 50
[0] Value Raise Range:
[0] Bluff Raise Range:
[49] Calling range: K9o(9), KQs(3), KJs(3), K10s(3), 88, (6), 99(6), 89s(3), FD(8), J10s(4), 67s(4)
For preflop calling range from CO vs. BB 3bet I'm using the following range (from upswing poker):
TT-44,AQo-AJo,KQo,AQs-A9s,A5s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s
In this case to continue with 50 combos I first thought of raising my sets and two pairs, but I quickly realized that if I were to balance this with bluffs I'd either be defending far more than 50 combos or I would have to be folding my top pair hands. This didn't seem right. So I moved everything to my call range which balanced out ok. I am still folding hands that I might normally peel one street with (such as 9-10s with the BDFD) but maybe this is ok.
Does the fact that I don't have a raising range here indicate that villain is making a mistake (either with continuing or bet sizing)? I noticed this flop hits my range very strong against the "upswing 3bet from bb vs CO open range" (AA-TT,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KJs,QJs,JTs,T9s,84s,76s-74s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s,32s).
Let me know what you think, thank you!