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Poker Theory: Lesson One ... (1) Poker Theory: Lesson One ... (1)
View Poll Results: Is this fundamental poker theory?
Yes
0 0%
No
3 100.00%

11-06-2018 , 12:10 PM
Getting to Know the Cards

In Holdem, you will be dealt each Pocket Pair 0.4% of the time. AA will be dealt to you 0.4% of the time.

You will be dealt each non-paired hand 1.4% of the time. AK will be dealt to you 1.4% of the time.

Using these percentages it's easy to calculate what the top 3% of hands might look like. At the tables you need to be able to roughly guess what a 20% range might look like, or a 50% range. If you struggle to do this, there's a very simple, free program called Equilab which will help you grasp these ranges.

Next, you need to learn how to calculate the future strength of your hand after the flop, turn, and river.

- If you are on the turn, you need to know how often the river will make your hand stronger, or weaker. By the turn there are 46 cards unknown, meaning that each river card will come once in every 46 times. Therefore, if 11 cards make your hand stronger, you have, roughly, a 1 in 4 chance of hitting.

- If you are on the flop, you have two chances to hit your hand and so can simply double your 'outs'. You now have 22 of 47 cards, roughly 1 in 2 chance of improving.

That concludes the first of the five lessons. Voting yes to all five will show that you are a master theorist. Many will fail. Only the wise will prevail.

Last edited by H.O.G; 11-06-2018 at 12:16 PM.
11-06-2018 , 02:33 PM
You get dealt AA 0.45% of the time.
You get dealt AK 1.21% of the time.

Inb4 thread is locked.
11-06-2018 , 03:43 PM
I voted no. The math is wrong and also thinking about this kind of thing is pretty useless at an actual table.
11-06-2018 , 03:53 PM
Meh, math errors happen on a free forum.

However, timewarps back to 2003 when this was relevant do not.

Last edited by robert_utk; 11-06-2018 at 03:55 PM. Reason: Maybe 1993?
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