Quote:
Originally Posted by tumaaas
41% of equity.
it's a simple calculation of pot odds
investment / pot + investment
pot= 100$
Villains bet allin for 250$
Current pot 350$
Hero should call 250$
350 : 250 pot odds simplified 7 : 5
5/(7+5) = 5 / 12 = 41% about
or 250/(350+250) = 250/600 = 41%
ok?
I also want to show you something interesting
The bigger our bet will be, the worse our chances become (we risk more to always win the same pot) because the chances are that our opponent will fold. At the same time the odds of our adversary will also become worse. Well, normal, no?
But no.
Because the way they get worse is not absolutely the same.
Example
P = pot
B = bet size
Breakeven bettor = B / (P + B)
Breakeven caller = B / (P + 2B)
Possible bets in texas holdem no limit in relation to the pot are tending towards infinity. Let's consider a huge episode, our chances that the fault works are getting closer and closer to 0 because we have to succeed almost 100% of the times to make breakeven.
From the point of view of those who call instead is not so bad because the call should never succeed 100% of the time but rather 1: 1 or equivalent to 1/2 or 50% this due to 2B. As a caller you always have the luxury of winning at least 50% of the time.
What do I want to say with this?
If we are the bettor a size too small to bluff may be wrong but at the same time a size too big to not entice our opponent to call can be even more wrong. We must be diligent in choosing the size. The opposing reading in this case is a fundamental thing if we can skim the range of our opponent until the river being able to assign a few combos of extreme value here that a bet pot or over bet could however be the right move.