Quote:
Originally Posted by TK1991
Yes, I have range advatage because if I donk bet small and villain just calls his range is preety capped(villain never calls sets, two pairs, AA..)
You don't have a range advantage on the flop, even if you have TT in your pre-flop flatting range, because villain has AA-JJ and all the best Tx and best draws, whereas you have a lot of weaker pairs and non-nut draws. With TT, check-raising is almost certainly more profitable than leading. If you want to check with the nuts, you should mostly check with your draws too.
FWIW, if you donkbet 1.6bb, Snowie is only folding 13%, and hardly raises anything. MP can/should definitely just call with TT/88 some or even most of the time, and AA should probably always just flat, unless MP goes for a small raise at a high frequency with its range.
It's really risky to bet huge when you're OOP, so you generally want to be much more polarized (monsters and combo draws usually). I'd much rather only get into an overbetting mindset if/when villain has checked back one of the streets (or checked twice when I'm in position). Him calling a small flop bet doesn't necessarily mean he's capped at one pair.
If you checked the flop,
and then he checked back, then he clearly
would be capped, as he would bet his sets always, and overpairs, top pair, and draws at very high frequencies. If he checks back the flop, only
then does overbetting the turn seem like a valid option. Indeed, if the flop checks through, Snowie says 2x pot is the optimal turn leading size, since that blank 3 almost never helps MP's weak check back range improve.