So, the ability to win a tournament is a mix of luck + chosing right EV+ spots (not all of them, just the better ones) + Make some plays with EV- and win them??
Yesterday I found this "pushbot" excel document (
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/2...nk-you-824728/)
I can't afford ICMIZER right now, so that was a great surprise for me. I read a lot about ICM and had a general idea but never study actual hands. And I have an example from a hand I study yesterday.
It's a 45 person $1 sit and go's FT. 6 players left. I'm at MP sit with 12.6 bb and get dealt A9o. I push
During study I find that it was a mistake. I just can push 5.1% of hands starting on AQo. Percieved table calling range is 7.5% stating with 88+ and ATs+. This is because of ICM implications
But then, I paste same hand with no ICM implications and I can push 91% of hands being profitable. Crazy change!
Then.. do you ever push 91% in this spot? Which is the right decision?
Let's forget about A9, A9 should be a push. But the other 91%? I find 7.5% calling range pretty standard. 88+ ATs+ Ajo+ KQs+. So here I can push 93o with profits, someone realy does it?
Another easy example:
We are against a villain which has a percieved pushing range of 35% with 15bb. We have 50bb. Our calling range should be around 15% right? but... we should call everytime we have a 15% hand here??