Quote:
Originally Posted by Shipnickle
I think we can summarize like this:
Example 1:
OOP (the pot bettor) has:
1 combo of AA
1 combo of QQ
IP (the caller) has:
1 combo of KK
OOP is betting 100% of AA and 50% of QQ. In this case IP calls 50% of KK vs the pot bet, according to MDF.
Example 2:
OOP (the bettor) has:
1 combo of AA
1 combo of QQ
IP (the caller) has:
1 combo of KK
10 combos of JJ-22
OOP is betting 100% of AA and 50% of QQ. In this case IP calls 100% of KK and folds everything else.
So in Example 2 IP will call as much as he can vs the pot bet to get as close as possible to defend 50% of range. If IP doesn't have enough hands that can win, he just has to fold those that have 0% equity.
Obviously this doesn't work out in equilibrium. If OOP knows IP has to fold everything else than KK OTR, then OOP will bet 100% of AA and 100% of QQ. Given that IP has enough 0% equity hands that OOP can bet entire range.
I think I know what you're getting at. But before elaborating, lets clear up something about position. It's the player IN POSITION who can either bet or check in this half street game, because when he checks he sees a showdown immediately. So for clarity's sake we will name playert IP Ivan, and player OOP Oswald (the association of initial letters may help).
Ok, now that we got that out of the way, let's go to the point at hand.
I think I see what you are trying to get at, but not sure whether you are taking bet sizes into account, but anyway, for a pot sized bet, alpha is 50%, and for a half pot bet, it is 33%. Now if I run this scenario with a half pot bet in either gto+ or crev, the equilibrium solution por Oswald is to call with KK 33% of the time, regardless whether his range is AA,KK,QQ, or AA-55. From this we can deduce that MDF (67%) applies
only to the part of the range that beat a bluff. So in this case, Oswald should call 67% of hands that beat a bluff, regardles of the amount of combos in his range that don't.
From this I can infer that what you said is correct
if Ivan was bluffing with something worse that AA-55, but not if he is bluffing with QQ.
Last edited by abstractdude; 09-17-2020 at 08:33 PM.