Hey guys I have a question regarding +$EV decisions in progressive super knockout MTTs.
We discussed it in our MTT study group for a bit. The result doesn't seem right though. So I figured there may be something wrong with our math. Shoot at it!
The information available:
Villain jams 18 bbs(177.121 chips) UTG+2 /w a 1k bounty on his head. Assigned range: QQ-77, 6s6c, ATs+, KQs, AJo+. VPIP/PFR 14/11
Hero looks at 66 with a 203,271 (20 bb) stack on the CO.
UTG+2 59.90%
CO 40.10%
We tried to make calculations based on
Apestyles' theory
Buy-in: 500+500+50
Starting stack: 10k
So if I understand it correctly.
10k(starting stack) / 500(bounty) = 20 chips is worth 1 dollar.
Apestyle:
Quote:
But you only get half of the KO money that each player has in the bubble over their head.
So in this tournament, to find out how many chips you add to the pot you just multiply your opponent's bounty number x 11.
In our example we use 20 chips divided by half the bounty = 10 to multiply with.
Chips to add to the pot = 1k * 10 = opponent's bounty number * multiply factor = 10k
Pot + bounty chips = 203.371 + 10.000 = 213.371
Equity needed 177.121/(213.371+177.121)= 45,36%
40.10% - 45,36% = -5,26% equity to call /w 66.
It doesn't seem right. Who knows the correct answer?