Quote:
Originally Posted by Yeodan
This is extremely confusing.
I can feel it sitting at the edge of my understanding, but I'm just not completely there yet.
Maybe an example could help?
The only way to make money in poker is by maximizing the EV with each individual holding.
Your holding's EV depends exclusively on its characteristics, villains range, and how villain plays that range. Your holding's EV isn't affected by your range or how you play other hands in the same spot, since each hand is an independent event.
Here's the tricky part: Your range can indirectly affect the EV of your holding through this chain of relationships:
You have a certain range and a certain strategy for that range on a given spot -> Villain notices this through frequencies and showdowns (Or maybe just correctly assumes how you play) -> He adjusts his strategy -> As we talked about, the EV of your specific holding is affected by villains strategy
In solvers, each player knows its opponents strategy perfectly, so this chain of events happens by definition. This is why,
against a solver, your range and how you play it as a whole is the biggest factor affecting each of your specific holdings EVs.
GTO (Nash Equilibrium) works a little differently though, as it doesn't adjust to any opponent, it just plays the same "perfect" ranges and strategies over and over again no matter how you react to it.
As we already stablished, your individual hand's EV is decided exclusively by that hand's characteristics and how villain plays his range, regardless of our own range.
Therefor against GTO/Nash Equilibrium, our ranges and frequencies won't affect the EV of each individual holding, which is the only variable that ultimately affects winrate