Quote:
Originally Posted by TheGodson
Maybe I'm confused, but isn't it better EV to be checking down with any hand less than 50% equity when 0% hands are getting folded. How does a half pot bet with 30% equity make more profit than checking?
Kelvis
"The chart doesn't say whether it is more profitable to check or bet. It just says when it is profitable to bet"
+1
The phrase “when 0% hands are getting folded” implies that a no-fold is given, which is not the case. The chart shows the required fold equity to make a bet profitable given card equity against villain’s calling range.
This range will normally be narrower than villain’s check-check range. So, for example, if hero checks and villain also checks with a range for which hero has 40% equity (>30%), then you can show that if villain folds 1/3 of the time facing a half-pot bet , hero EV = 0.40, same as the check-check option. This assumes no raise and the hand is subsequently checked down if not a river bet.
EVchk = 0.40*1 = 0.4
EVbet = 0.33*1 + 0.67*(0.30*(1+2*0.5)-0.5) = 0.4