Originally Posted by LargeLouster and corrected by jay_shark (the part in red).
As we all know, we will get AA once in 220 hands. Uh, I thought the chances of getting AA were once every 221 hands. 4/52*3/51=1/221. The odds of getting a pair of aces are 220 to 1 against. As far as flopping a set, wouldn't the easiest way be to calculate the chances of not flopping a set
or better and then subtract that from 1?
1-(48/50*47/49*46/48)=0.11755102=~11.75%
fyp. (written by jay_shark)
I see your point, Poo-Bah. Here's my first question. If I have AA, which of the following 3 flops, ignoring order and suit, would you include in your correction
or better?
1. AAK
2. AKK
3. KKK
Here's my second question. Once you make the correction, would the difference show up before the sixth decimal place? Unless it did, and if it showed up on the fifth decimal place and was 5 or more, you would still end up rounding back to ~11.75%, wouldn't you?
Best wishes,
MasonLouster
Last edited by LargeLouster; 05-04-2009 at 02:41 PM.