Quote:
Originally Posted by keuwai
3. Needless to say, bluffs should be betting the same size as value.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Haizemberg93
Why?
Had the same reaction. There's no hard law that says that using the same size for value and bluffs is the way to maximize EV.
The only reason to use the same size for value and bluffs is if we are up against an opponent who is good enough to notice when we are using different sizes and knows how to adjust.
Other than that, we are better off using different sizes.
Example: Let's say we play the nuts and air river toy game.
We bet 1x pot with 10 combos of nuts + 5 combos of air + give up 5 combos.
If our opponent calls GTO, the EV with our nuts is: 50% * 2 + 50% * 1 = 1.5x pot
The EV with our air is: 0
Total EV: 1.5 * 50% =
0.75x pot
*************
Now, say our opponent is completely inelastic and calls the same 50% vs a 1.5x pot bet
and folds the same 50% vs 0.75x.
EV with our nuts is now: 50% * 2.5 + 50% * 1 = 1.75x pot
We now bet all our air for an EV of: 50% * 1 - 50% * 0.75 = 0.125x pot
Total EV: 50% * 1.75 + 50% * 0.125 =
0.9375x pot (EV increase of 25% compared to betting the same size with value and bluffs)
Exploitatively we should value bet the size that maximizes
Bet-size * Call%.
And bluff the size that maximizes
Overfold% * (Bet-size + Pot-size).