Yes, I am sure someone will jump in and say "It means every hand in your range has the same EV for bet and check!".
Sure - it does. But I am struggling to know how to use that information/what the practical message is.
I think I've got ok at spotting the hands in a range that are good enough to bet but also not so good we can't check on an early street. Think top pair, weak kicker on a dry, static board. We can often bet or check the flop IP with these because we aren't looking to build a huge pot at all and don't feel great about being raised. In practice if we did bet flop we might check turn anyway, so x flop, bet turn is just as reasonable in EV terms.
But what about situations where solvers tell you every single hand in your range is like this?
Here's an example. SB v BTN, 3B pot, on AT6 two tone.
There's a small amount of overbetting, but big picture, the EV of bet or check is the same for every single hand in the PFR's range.* Does this mean:
- in situations where our range advantage on a certain board is strong enough (our EV here is 57% of the pot despite being OOP), we can do little wrong at least on the flop? Later streets are much more important?
- OOP can safely check great hands because unlike IP, OOP can often check-raise? The urgency of building a pot with our first action just goes down massively?
- something else?
I'd like to get to a point where I can recognise these situations in game a lot without having running them through a solver, and I think the first step is understanding the underlying logic. What do people think?
* Flush draws make a difference to the EV, but not the mixing. E.g. for KJs, we mix all hands even if the nut flush draw one has much higher EV. That EV is just higher whatever we do.