Ok...couldn't resist.

30K sample.
-Odds of getting dealt JJ specifically is 0.45%
-will be dealt JJ 135 times over 30K sample
-Odds of flopping quads is 0.2398%
-will flop quad jacks on average of 0.32373 times per 30K hand sample.

So, by reverse math, you will need to play 92,889 hands in March to guarantee (by the numbers) of flopping quad jacks at least once.

Let's say you play that many hands:
-418 times you flop JJ
-1 time you hit the jackpot
-Use above example

EV=(393 times you win $0.06)+(25 times you lose $0.12)+(418[77.4% (odds of JJ vs random hand)you win $0.10]+[22.6% you lose $0.04]+(1 time you win $100 which is .2398% chance)

EV = about +$0.36 if you plan on putting in this much volume, in a perfect world as described above and you actually bink it....good luck to ya.

No, it has to see a flop...which is why limp/calling would be best with JJ because you have a better shot of seeing a flop.

Too bad there's no easy way of knowing how many tournaments or hands you've played in any given day.

a dude called me theres this site which tracks all your games.

noob - You can't really make assumptions about how much worse off your actual hand plays with limping vs. raising. It goes beyond merely stealing the blinds or not stealing the blinds.

is the maximus sit and gos only for rpm?

In other exciting news, earned my tourney ticket today. And lost a little LESS than $109 in the process of getting there. Go me!!

Wasn't yesterday part of February or was it part of the March promotion?

Sweet! Hit it within the first two hours. Somewhat of a fail though. For some reason thought it was $1000 not 100 haha

so it MUST go to showdown i imagine? wow nice job lol you got it by like 2 hrs. into march

WELCOME
rpmJon and
MicroBob. I didn't know we had Bob at RPM. I look forward to your comments.

And, congrats to sandite75.

cool i played late into the night to thu march 1 & was worried i wouldnt get double vip. ty rpm!

Yes they are exclusive to RPM only.

It says on their promotion page you just have to flop it. So i dont really think it has to make it to showdown. My hand wouldnt have made it to showdown if had bet anything. But i was too busy jumping around thinking i had won $1k.

I get that. However, in this EV case, you basically have to figure it out based on playing in a vacuum. Otherwise, there's just too many variables.

I would think it would be party of Feb?

MicroBob must not believe in leap year?

At least he'll get double VIP points for playing 10K hands which is good.

thumbsup for the march promotions

Haha. OMG. **** my life.

Wtf was I thinking?


Cliffs: I'm a moron.

All this months promos are missing is something like they've done the past few months where you earn 10k points or w/e and get in some freerolls.

Also I wonder how many runners these Saturday freerolls will get?

when do the new flippaments appear in lobby? and what do you have to do to qualify for them? if you qualified for the ones yesterday are you in the one in 2 weeks from now?

These freerolls are available for registration. They are located at the top of your tournament lobby. Enjoy!

Do we have to Opt in this month?

Pretty sure this means you didn't read the first page of this thread.