2018 Candidates Thread - Page 7 - Chess and Board Game Strategy

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03-27-2018 , 11:07 PM

#151

All-inMcLovin

Wholesome Mod

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 49,529

Quote:

Originally Posted by brrrrr

538 gives him 30% based on Elo

lol @ that

Magnus is a pit bull off his leash
Fabi is a small dog akin to a maltese

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03-28-2018 , 09:57 AM

#152

grando1.0

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 17,111

Bwin has Carlsen 1.5 Caruana 2.5

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03-28-2018 , 11:33 AM

#153

The Yugoslavian

STTF HUC II Winner

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 25,040

I mean, if Magnus from two years ago shows up I think 30% or even a bit more is warranted. Fabi is better than Karjakin imo. But I have a feeling Magnus will be better prepared this time.

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03-28-2018 , 03:50 PM

#154

TimTimSalabim

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2002 Posts: 14,522

The correct answer is 35.0%

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03-29-2018 , 03:18 AM

#155

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 74,717

Quote:

Originally Posted by grando1.0

Bwin has Carlsen 1.5 Caruana 2.5

that's incredible vig that i wouldn't expect to see this side of the pond

but yeah, let's just be thankful that it isn't karjakin again

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03-29-2018 , 05:41 PM

#156

grando1.0

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 17,111

Pinnacle has it 1.344 Carlsen 3.390 Caruana

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04-01-2018 , 10:07 PM

#157

BobJoeJim

Tournament Director

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 11,199

I mean it's obviously fifty/fifty amirite?

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04-01-2018 , 10:27 PM

#158

All-inMcLovin

Wholesome Mod

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 49,529

Magnus Carlsen is all about psychology.

He's like if Ivan Drago had a brain.

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04-06-2018 , 03:13 PM

#159

Tuma

Worships Amon-Ra

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 16,388

Fabi deserves an appreciation thread. He's a big fan of poker too.

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04-26-2018 , 04:32 AM

#160

Mrtight

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 78

Surely Magnus will play better than he did last World Championship match. If he goes down a couple games to Caruana he will lose in such a short match.

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04-26-2018 , 06:14 AM

#161

Tuma

Worships Amon-Ra

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 16,388

Magnus has def beefed up since the karjakin match.

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03-22-2020 , 12:05 AM

#162

Jion_Wansu

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 420

If someone changed this thread to just "Candidates' Thread" then we're in!

Looks like MVL is gaining steam. Currently in 1st place!!!

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09-10-2020 , 05:23 PM

#163

Spielmacher

enthusiast

Join Date: May 2019 Posts: 87

My money would be on MVL.

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09-11-2020 , 11:08 AM

#164

The Yugoslavian

STTF HUC II Winner

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 25,040

I really want Caruana to win. Hopefully he can somehow win the first couple games when they restart and get it going.

But, yeah, I think Nepo will actually win it, although when I saw him some in person he kind of rubbed me the wrong way (seemed like a bit of an ahole). The good news is despite his improvement in consistency, he still seems inconsistent as F - so he's a decent pick to somehow bomb out in the second half.

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