Quote:
Originally Posted by Fabian
Is Carlsen or Aronian winning over 99% after this round? Gotta be getting close soon.
I actually have it at EXACTLY 99.0% that the winner will be Carlsen or Aronian, at this point.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sholar
Looks like it's a race between Aronian and Carlsen to the finish, now. Almost time to ask BJJ to calculate the odds Carlsen breaks 2900 in this tournament...
He has 8 games left to gain 21.4 more points, and he earns just over 3 points for each win, but loses over half a point on a draw. +7 =1 -0 in the last 8 rounds would put him really close to 2900, but I'm not sure he'd get there. Of course he could always just win his last 8 games and pull it off - where's that thread about whether he can top Fischer's famous winning streak?