Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan White
Again, for argument's sake, if I could memorize all that stuff it would be useful to have the match equity, take points, doubles and gammon price (not too familiar with that one yet) for up to a 15 point match. Then you'd be covered for everything, right? The only thing left to do is estimate the game win % and compare the two.
Yes, I think if you knew all the double points, take points and gammon prices, that's everything that's calculable from the match equities. Though it's not as simple as comparing the game win % to those numbers. This is because the take points etc. that you can get from a MET don't take into account future cube value which varies from position to position. For example, if a match is tied, the doubling point is 50%, but typically you don't want to double with just 51% since that 50% number ignores the fact that if you don't double, you may get to use the cube later, and it ignores the fact that your opponent gets to use the cube later if they take.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan White
The 4 cube makes me wonder... if the double has already been accepted and the cube is turned to 4 is the risk now calculated as losing 4 games minus losing 2 games, etc and same with the reward calculation and double decisions?
Yes the procedure and equations would be the same when calculating a take point for instance. It's just if the cube is going to 4 (as opposed to 2) it would just mean you are looking at a different place in the MET to get the numbers to put into the risk vs. reward calculations.