Quote:
Originally Posted by JR Scully
... BG online on "any" site is designed to keep players coming back time and again. ... So the Random Die Generators are cooked, every one of them. ...
End game miracles are the most egregious. When a 5/6 closed board with an open blot over the bar enters and hits nearly every game I play, tells me I'm looking at cooked die generators. I don't need stats, algorithms, records etc. to tell me that these rolls are miracles. ...
Next time you play five games and 3-5 of those games show die rolls turning defeat into victory with a blink, just do the math. If we were to see the outcomes on the live boards at the pubs I play in, you'd be tossed out into the alley where your bogus dice belong.
eXtreme Gammon, F.I.B.S. Gammon Village, BGroom, take your pick. Nah. Same, same. Why should I believe constant one shot 17:1 enter and hit rolls are a normal part of the game. My 60 yrs playing live boards tell me it's bogus. No calculator or math whiz is going to change me up. Contrary to popular opinion, pigs really can't fly.
Here we go again...although, at least you are honest and admit that you're closed-minded and that you will ignore math to keep your opinion.
Anyway, I'll still give it a shot...
You say every online game is rigged and the biggest culprit is miracles from the bar. Let me look at the over 6,600 rolls I've played on Backgammon Galaxy while on the bar. Let's compare the number of times I've come in on a 1-point, 2-point ... 5-point boards against the number of times I expect to come in against those boards.
- 1-point board: 1,023 rolls - entered 989 vs. expected of 995 (6 more whiffs than expected)
- 2-point board: 1,245 rolls - 1,123 vs. 1,107 (16 fewer whiffs)
- 3-point board: 1,497 rolls - 1,100 vs. 1,123 (23 more whiffs)
- 4-point board: 1,536 rolls - 882 vs. 853 (29 fewer whiffs)
- 5-point board: 1,360 rolls - 387 vs. 416 (29 more whiffs)
Overall, I have whiffed 12 more times than expected. Not only is that well within the expected statistical range, but it shows pretty conclusively that Backgammon Galaxy is not rigged the way you say all online sites are rigged.
Just to take it a step further, you also say bear offs are rigged. So, let's look at that. The average roll is 8.167 pips. In race situations, I'm averaging 8.088 pips after contact is lost. Again, pretty close to what is expected and definitely shows that Backgammon Galaxy is not rigged the other way you say all online sites are rigged.
I think one of two things is far more likely than the site being rigged. One, you don't understand odds as well as you think you do, or two, your perception is just skewed to see what you want to see to meet a pre-conceived notion. Either way, facts are facts and it seems pretty clear that not ALL online sites are rigged.