Quote:
Originally Posted by LearnedfromTV
seems like a good place to ask... which beginner/intermediate book has the math laid out best?
Hit probabilities, enter probabilities, escape probabilities, etc. Either something that's cleanly condensed in chart form for the simpler stuff or just generally a math based approach to tough positions, for example analyzing choice A vs Choice B in terms of the opponent's next roll probabilities, say comparing two different ways of leaving blot(s) open in terms of % chance of getting hit.
Just in general, what's the best mathish book
Hi,
First of all do NOT, i repeat NOT buy the book The mathematical theory behind backgammon from Ali Khayat, i have bought it because i wanted a book as you described it but i returned it to the bookstore because the book is about astrology and NOT!!! about mathematics,
Well and now i will try to give a positive answer to your question, there is mathematics in Robertie's Advanced Backgammon especially on bear-off situations, Paul Lamford's Improve your backgammon there is maths about (or more precise formulas about) the race and match play, and in his book 100 backgammon puzzles he gives a small chapter on basic probabilities, like hit probabilities for direct shots, indirect shots, probabilities on entering from the bar against different boards; the forementioned you might be able to calculate them yourselves, just try it, put them in a reply, and i say if you are correct.
Here are a few numbers which are hard to calculate:
Probability of winning:
One man closed out but your other men in your board: 5%
A closed board against a man on the bar when your opponent has borne off 14 checkers: 8%
10 checkers: 25%
5 checkers: 75%
Chance of being gammoned:
One man closed out, other men in your board: 5%
Two men closed out, ....: 45%
Three men closed out,...: 90%
Another good advice, play against gnu on grandmaster level and try to calculate the equity's he gives, see if you understand his calculation,
you can also send a position that you don't understand to this forum and I can give you an example on how to calculate the equity,
well this is what I know about the maths,
greetings k.