Hi Bill, could you help me better understand why hitting on the 18 and 3 points is not correct in this position (Diagram 2-54, Modern Backgammon)?
White - Pips 156 (-21)
Black - Pips 177 (+21)
Black to Play 3-3
When I first studied this position, I came up with Bar/22 24/18* 6/3*, which XG says is second best to your choice of Bar/22 13/10 6/3*(2).
The benefits of making the 3 point with Bar/22 13/10 6/3*(2) are obvious to me, but with both inner boards being undeveloped, why wouldn't I want to go for the 21 pip swing with the hit, while simultaneously interrupting his attempts at making his bar point (or worse)? If white comes in hitting, at least I already have his bar point slotted, not to mention my two other split checkers ready to make some sort of advanced anchor on my re-entry. On page 46 you state:
Quote:
One common dilemma that players routinely face is that of hitting a tasty blot or making a strong blocking point. In very general terms, hitting the blot is most likely right. Hitting both gains ground in the race and prevents your opponent from improving his structure, which in normal positions will outweigh other choices.
When I first saw position 2-54, it seemed hitting the blot on 18 gives me ground in the race and prevents my opponent from improving his structure. So what is it that tips the play in favor of making the 3 point? Is it purely the duplicating 6s that put it over the edge? Or is it just the fact that I can secure an inner point and hit at the same time?
Thanks for your help!