Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >


Backgammon Forum hosted by Bill Robertie. Discussion of anything related to backgammon: strategy, problems, books, clubs, and tournaments.

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-23-2018, 04:11 PM   #1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Filthadelphia
Posts: 33
Cube decision

White has two checkers on the bar.

Should white double?

Curious to hear how you would think through this. Thanks!

WhiskeyFish is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-23-2018, 06:13 PM   #2
Karol Szczerek
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Poland
Posts: 84
Re: Cube decision

How about White weren't on the bar but in the outfield already instead. Black would certainly have over 10% with that race lead and White's front spares so undiversified. Let's say 15%.

Starting from there, is it better for White or not to be on the bar with 2 guys but able to shoot at the 2nd Black's blot? Certainly much worse for White. Even if he hits, Black will be much over 10%, still. He will be able to make the anchor frequently. Let's say it's still close to 15%. If White misses, well, that must be like 35-40% or even more for Black. He's got like 2-3 rolls to try to escape and even if he doesn't before White enters, he still has many chances to escape before White attacks AND doesn't get return hit AND makes the 6-prime.

As Black, if we take 15% on White's misses (about 1/3 of times) and 40% on White's dances (about 2/3 of times), that gives us over 30% wins right there. Many of them being gammons. That seems too much for White to even initial double let alone redouble here.

No redouble, easy take.
Karol Szczerek is offline   Reply With Quote


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:22 PM.

Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2017, Two Plus Two Interactive
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online