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 02-19-2019, 09:52 PM #1 midiboy centurion   Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Colorado Posts: 104 Cube Action? I'm curious to hear some explanations on this one. White is leading the 5-point match 1-0, pip count tied at 126. Does white double? Should black take? White - Pips 126 (=), Match -4 -5 Black - Pips 126 (=), Match -5 -4 White on roll. Cube action? Created with Diagram Builder
 02-20-2019, 01:39 PM #2 _Z_ grinder     Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 571 Re: Cube Action? White has an very large and obvious positional edge here and should double. Even though Black is down in the match, he should be conservative at the score. This 4-away score for White is worth noting. A gammon puts him exactly at what he needs to win the match, so White's many gammons are especially valuable. And by passing Black saddles White with an awkward 3-away score. So even if this is a take for money (unclear, yes?), he should pass at the score.
 02-20-2019, 01:52 PM #3 _Z_ grinder     Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 571 Re: Cube Action? I remember something Kit Woolsey wrote about years ago regarding 4-away scores. A one point difference in a match matters more when the match is short. You'd rather be ahead 2-away 3-away than 11-away 12-away. And when the modern bots came out with their match equity tables determined by rollouts, this heuristic held of course. Except in one case it's flipped. You'd rather be ahead 4-away 5-away than 3-away 4-away! 4-away is particularly nice. Obviously if it's a choice between being 3-away and 4-away, you'd always choose 3-away, but the gain from getting to 4-away is bigger than you'd think and the gain from going from 4-away to 3-away is smaller than you'd think. Edit: ooh found the article -- http://www.bkgm.com/articles/GOL/Jan01/sneq.htm Last edited by _Z_; 02-20-2019 at 02:04 PM.
 02-23-2019, 12:46 AM #4 midiboy centurion   Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Colorado Posts: 104 Re: Cube Action? Interesting; appreciate the explanation. It seems my biggest cube blunders lately are due to not understanding match equity. In this case, the 25% gammons (that I didn't see) I'm assuming is reason enough to drop, notwithstanding the positional advantage white enjoys. Thanks for the link to the Woolsey article - exactly the kind of stuff I need to study.
 02-23-2019, 01:48 AM #5 midiboy centurion   Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Colorado Posts: 104 Re: Cube Action? A great article also from Woolsey on match equity: http://www.bkgm.com/articles/GOL/Aug99/fivept.htm
 03-05-2019, 05:24 PM #6 _Z_ grinder     Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 571 Re: Cube Action? Here's another position where this 4-away concept is relevant. Pretty solid money pass, but leading 2-0 in a match to 5, Black should take so he doesn't let White get to 4-away.
 03-08-2019, 07:47 AM #8 jjpregler old hand   Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Levittown, PA Posts: 1,916 Re: Cube Action? Here are the Rockwell/Kazaross tables: http://www.bkgm.com/articles/Kazaros...MET/index.html And a good shortcut to use to estimate your equity over the table: http://www.bkgm.com/rgb/rgb.cgi?view+171

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