Quote:
Originally Posted by RolldUpTrips
XG 1296 trial 3 ply with VR for money gives a .989 take.
I crancked up to 100% confidence, stopped at 9077 trials. Look at the take decision confidence [Confidence Double: ± 0,019 (+1,017<E<+1,055)]. 1296 trials are not enough.
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66,11% (G: 37,16% B: 5,73%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33,89% (G: 12,35% B: 1,60%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67,72% (G: 37,79% B: 5,11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,28% (G: 12,05% B: 1,80%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0,322, Double=+1,290
Cubeful Equities:
No Double: +0,798 (-0,202)
Double/Take: +1,036 (+0,036)
Double/Drop: +1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout
9077 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0,011 (+0,787<E<+0,809)
Confidence Double: ± 0,019 (+1,017<E<+1,055)
Double Decision confidence: 100,0%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
I have to check up my post with the market windows. I wrote Xavier an E-Mail. Something with the cube information window. I don't know if there is a fault be me or XG or mishandling it.
And here for match:
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66,73% (G: 37,36% B: 7,14%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33,27% (G: 12,67% B: 3,21%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67,51% (G: 37,47% B: 14,34%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,49% (G: 13,66% B: 5,22%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0,813, Double=+1,487
Cubeful Equities:
No Double: +0,935 (-0,065)
Double/Take: +1,253 (+0,253)
Double/Drop: +1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0,038 (+0,898<E<+0,973)
Confidence Double: ± 0,059 (+1,194<E<+1,312)
Double Decision confidence: 100,0%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
This one is another remarkable norwegian position.
Last edited by higonefive; 11-11-2010 at 04:09 PM.