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Old 02-27-2018, 12:54 PM   #1
deh
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6-1, 3rd roll

White - Pips 161 (-3)

Black - Pips 164 (+3)
Black to Play 6-1
Created with Diagram Builder


What is the best play and why?



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Old 02-27-2018, 09:03 PM   #2
noncarborundum
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Re: 6-1, 3rd roll

I like 24-18, 6-5.

-splits back checkers and threatens opponents bar while opponent has stacks
-keeps the builder and versatility of the blot on 11
-unstacks the six
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Old 02-28-2018, 01:01 PM   #3
_Z_
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Re: 6-1, 3rd roll

You'd rather be split than not split, but due to White's stackiness and the fact that it should be easy to split later, I think distributing on the home front is worth more. So I'd play 11/5 6/5.

If you move a checker from White's 8 point to White's outfield, I think then Black has more incentive to split, and it may change the play.
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Old 02-28-2018, 05:23 PM   #4
deh
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Re: 6-1, 3rd roll

Quote:
Originally Posted by _Z_ View Post
You'd rather be split than not split, but due to White's stackiness and the fact that it should be easy to split later, I think distributing on the home front is worth more. So I'd play 11/5 6/5.

If you move a checker from White's 8 point to White's outfield, I think then Black has more incentive to split, and it may change the play.

Good explanation, thank you!
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Old 02-28-2018, 05:36 PM   #5
noncarborundum
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Re: 6-1, 3rd roll

Could someone run it in XG?

I ran it in GNU 2-ply, and the moves are very close, with 24-18, 6-5 holding a .003 equity advantage over 11-5, 6-5.
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Old 02-28-2018, 08:29 PM   #6
deh
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Re: 6-1, 3rd roll

Quote:
Originally Posted by noncarborundum View Post
Could someone run it in XG?

I ran it in GNU 2-ply, and the moves are very close, with 24-18, 6-5 holding a .003 equity advantage over 11-5, 6-5.


1. XG Roller+ 11/5 6/5 eq:+0.290
Player: 56.59% (G:17.68% B:0.71%)
Opponent: 43.41% (G:10.87% B:0.47%)

2. XG Roller+ 24/23 11/5 eq:+0.243 (-0.047)
Player: 55.68% (G:16.64% B:0.64%)
Opponent: 44.32% (G:10.82% B:0.40%)

3. XG Roller+ 24/18 6/5 eq:+0.241 (-0.049)
Player: 56.62% (G:13.83% B:0.62%)
Opponent: 43.38% (G:11.23% B:0.38%)
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