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Old 03-26-2018, 12:18 AM   #1
deh
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Join Date: Mar 2011
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5-4 to play

White - Pips 121 (-3)

Black - Pips 124 (+3)
Black to Play 5-4
Created with Diagram Builder


And why?


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Old 03-26-2018, 09:33 AM   #2
e_holle
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Location: Still bitter about '94
Posts: 4,684
Re: 5-4 to play

I don't want a hitting war until I take care of my 1-point, so I won't be moving my back or 12-point checkers yet.

I could play the pure waiting game: 6/1 5/1 and see what white leaves next.

Now, I think I'm leaning toward 5/1 8/3. I have fixed the problem at home, brought in a builder for the 2-point, and left white with duplicated 4s.

On the other hand, if I am hit first and stay on the bar, I need to be thinking about a possible double down the road. That leans things back toward waiting, but by how much?

In the moment I would probably play the waiting game, and wonder if I am playing too meekly.

Last edited by e_holle; 03-26-2018 at 09:41 AM.
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Old 03-26-2018, 05:03 PM   #3
Karol Szczerek
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Re: 5-4 to play

In these late mutual holding games outfield control is key. Here the first thing I look for is to jump out with both back checkers if I don't leave a direct. I would buy time, stay flexible, keep control and pressure. Unfortunately 22/17 22/18 leaves too many shots. I'd strongly consider 22/18 6/1 though. Even up the boards, spread control, risk not too much with such low amount of White's builders up front. With such strong boards, leaving a shot inside opponent's board is also better than leaving the same shot outside as many of her hits will be loose hits which can be counter hit. Yeah, 6/1 5/1 is safe, but leaves a stripped inflexible position that can backfire soon.

I'd go with 22/18 6/1 over 6/1 5/1.
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Old 03-26-2018, 06:50 PM   #4
deh
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Re: 5-4 to play

1. XG Roller+ 22/18 6/1 eq:-0.136
Player: 54.01% (G:15.85% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 45.99% (G:20.00% B:0.36%)

2. XG Roller+ 6/1 5/1 eq:-0.190 (-0.054)
Player: 50.13% (G:10.01% B:0.22%)
Opponent: 49.87% (G:11.26% B:0.27%)

3. XG Roller+ 12/8 6/1 eq:-0.234 (-0.098)
Player: 47.81% (G:10.90% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 52.19% (G:11.35% B:0.28%)
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