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New Anthropic Argument New Anthropic Argument

09-02-2010 , 08:31 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
The set of sensible models of the universe which do not allow carbon base life to arise vastly exceeds the set of sensible models of the universe which do allow the rise of carbon based life.
As is, this is wrong. Take out 'sensible' and it becomes correct but entirely irrelevant.

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I think your argument would hold water if somehow you could show the universe is the way it is because it had to be the way it is....like if changing the constants lead to a contradiction or something. But right now, our current understanding of nature doesn't forbid different values for those constants. We can change those values and still build models which make sense so why should the defualt position be they are fundamentally locked?
No you don't, because you clearly do not understand what my argument is. It is not that the constants being locked is the default position. That is merely an alternate option I suggested to illustrate why your claim is absurd. I am not making a positive claim about whether or not the universe appears fine tuned. You are. My argument is that your position is unjustified.

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For you to make the claim that the universe does not appear to be fine tuned you have to show the value of those constants are fundamentally locked and under no circumstances could be different. Thats a very narrow and specific veiw which you are advocating with absolutely no evidence.....so why should we go there?
Well, no, that the constants are fundamentally locked would be just one way of justifying that claim. Of course, I am not advocating that claim.

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Until more evidence comes in we have to look at it in the broader veiw. In the broader veiw the universe does have the appearance of being fine tuned...but also appears the way it would if the constants were fundamentally locked.....and also appears the way it would if there was no fine tuner - no fundamental locking of constants but part of a multiverse.
This undermines your entire position. If you now just want to make the claim, 'if the constants can be changed then this is how the universe could look if it were fine tuned for carbon based life' then I agree. But,

1) This is not what you began arguing, and

2) This is an utterly useless statement.

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You lost this debate Deorum....your position is crushed. Hooray! for the broadveiw.
Fail #2.
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09-02-2010 , 08:34 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso

However it is an error to say the universe doesn't appear fine-tuned....it does and will until such time as the notion of a fine tuner is eliminated as a cause for the appearance.
I don't think anyone will disagree with the fact that the universe APPEARS to be fine tuned. But in the eyes of us humans alone. This is based on the fact that the majority of people on earth have the idea inside their head that our life on earth here is significant. While it is infact coincidental (distance to the sun is good, gravity, etc etc, all coincidental factors!). I like to use this example a lot, but think about putting all the parts of a clock in a box, shake it around and when you open it you see a working ticking clock. This is why we exist.
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09-02-2010 , 08:57 AM
life is fine tuned to the universe, which is why the universe appears to us to be fine tuned. this isn't rocket science.
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09-02-2010 , 09:04 AM
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Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
life is fine tuned to the universe, which is why the universe appears to us to be fine tuned. this isn't rocket science.
The universe isn't necessarily fine tuned to humans....it is fine tuned toward the rise of carbon based life. You can't say that the ability for carbon base life to arise was something that "evolved".
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09-02-2010 , 09:06 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
I'm taking the side of the crackpot because he is right and you are wrong. The universe has the appearance of being fine-tunned. That doesn't mean it was fine-tunned. Burying your head in the sand of the copernican principal doesn't make that appearance go away.
We don't KNOW if it even has the appearance of fine tuning because we can't derive any of the parameters that are supposed to be fine tuned. Also the notion that it is fine tuned specifically for life is not at all supported. The cosmological is a factor of 10 lower than what is needed just for life. The Higgs mass also could be much, much higher and life could still exist.
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09-02-2010 , 09:07 AM
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Originally Posted by Deorum
No you don't, because you clearly do not understand what my argument is. It is not that the constants being locked is the default position. That is merely an alternate option I suggested to illustrate why your claim is absurd. I am not making a positive claim about whether or not the universe appears fine tuned. You are. My argument is that your position is unjustified.
Our existence is evidence of the appearance of the universe being fine-tuned.
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09-02-2010 , 09:08 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
The universe isn't necessarily fine tuned to humans....it is fine tuned toward the rise of carbon based life.
Again, no. It doesn't seem like you realize that "fine tuning" has a very specific meaning in physics and you are not using it correctly at all. Or perhaps you do and just don't care. Either way pretty much everything you are saying is wrong.
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09-02-2010 , 09:08 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
Our existence is evidence of the appearance of the universe being fine-tuned.
Lol, if you keep up this pace of incorrect posting it will be a full time job to correct all of your errors
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09-02-2010 , 09:31 AM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
Take our existing model of the universe and change the plugged in (not derived from first pricipals) values of constants....then analysing that model.

Do you think carbon based life would exist if di-protons were stable?
And these are the type of questions that we can't even begin to ask because we don't if various free parameters are independent or not. Once you fix the muon mass, the electron mass is potentially fully determined for example. Constants that appear to be fine tuned (in the sense that physicists use the term) does not mean this incredibly naive (and somewhat stupid) thing that you think it means.
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09-02-2010 , 10:33 AM
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Originally Posted by Max Raker
Lol, if you keep up this pace of incorrect posting it will be a full time job to correct all of your errors
You haven't really put forth much of an argument. Deorum did and I crushed it.

What do you think about this statement by Leonard Susskind...maybe you can correct his errors too:

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If, for some unforeseen reason, the landscape turns out to be inconsistent – maybe for mathematical reasons, or because it disagrees with observation – I am pretty sure that physicists will go on searching for natural explanations of the world. But I have to say that if that happens, as things stand now we will be in a very awkward position. Without any explanation of nature’s fine-tunings we will be hard pressed to answer the ID critics. One might argue that the hope that a mathematically unique solution will emerge is as faith-based as ID.
- Interveiw with Lennard Susskind for New Scientist,17 December 2005

A natural explaination for the universe appearing to be fine tuned

Last edited by Stu Pidasso; 09-02-2010 at 10:52 AM.
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09-02-2010 , 01:53 PM
Haha, at you thinking you crushed Deorum. In his last post he tried to explain some of the mistakes you made. This doesn't even come down to theism vs atheism, its just that you don't understand the state of physics and what is understood and what is very speculative. You are going to have find a local expert who is a theist because I don't see any way to explain it to you without just repeating what has been said.

I disagree with Susskind, and so do most experts IMO. I don't think you really understand what fine tuning is so my rebuttal to susskinds quote won't make any sense to you. If you read up and post some correct background info on what fine tuning is and why it is speculative from the start I'll tell you my opinions. But until then I see no point.
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09-02-2010 , 02:37 PM
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Originally Posted by Max Raker
I disagree with Susskind, and so do most experts IMO.
I would be interested in what you disagree with. The paragraph seems right to me.

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If, for some unforeseen reason, the landscape turns out to be inconsistent – maybe for mathematical reasons, or because it disagrees with observation – I am pretty sure that physicists will go on searching for natural explanations of the world. But I have to say that if that happens, as things stand now we will be in a very awkward position. Without any explanation of nature’s fine-tunings we will be hard pressed to answer the ID critics. One might argue that the hope that a mathematically unique solution will emerge is as faith-based as ID.
Even formerly "Dreams of a Final Theory" Weinberg is in this camp.
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09-02-2010 , 04:30 PM
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Originally Posted by David Steele
I would be interested in what you disagree with. The paragraph seems right to me.



Even formerly "Dreams of a Final Theory" Weinberg is in this camp.
First you have to post something which shows you understand what fine tunning means before Maxi will respond.

Paul Davies and Martin Rees would also agree that the universe has the appearance of being fine tuned. Its not some crack-pot creationist notion.
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09-02-2010 , 04:41 PM
There seem to be (at least) two different uses of "fine tuning" ITT. One talks about nature itself being fine tuned for life. The other talks about descriptions of nature being fined tuned to match what they describe.
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09-02-2010 , 05:27 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
First you have to post something which shows you understand what fine tunning means before Maxi will respond.
I mean in the sense Susskind has explained for instance:
from an interview (that is also linked above):

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1. The universe is tremendously big—much bigger than the 10 billion light-years that we are directly aware of by astronomical observation. The evidence for this is extremely strong and comes from the recent quantitative success of inflationary cosmology. In fact the universe is almost certainly so big that the observable portion of it is an infinitesimal fraction of the whole.

2. Inflation also tends to make the universe diverse. I mean that on enormous scales, it tends to make the universe more like a patchwork crazy quilt of diverse environments than a uniform homogeneous blanket. Of course it cannot make the universe more diverse in its properties than what is allowed by the equations of the theory. For example, in a smaller context, the Big Bang created diversity—hot stars, cold voids, giant gas clouds, a wide variety of planets, black holes, etc. All of these environments are solutions of the equations of physics. It did not create planets with antigravity or places where 1+1=3. So there are limits. In the bigger context diversity means variety in the properties of elementary particles and the constants of nature.

3. The basic equations that control that spectrum of particles and constants do admit a very large number of solutions. The space of these possibilities is what I have called "the landscape."

4. Given 1, 2 and 3, it is certain that some features of what we ordinarily call the laws of physics will turn out to be local environmental facts contingent on our particular region. If this is so, then the explanation of why a certain constant—the cosmological constant, for example—has its value, will be the following: The CC has one value in this patch, some other value in that patch and yet another value in some other patch. Our kind of life can only form in a narrow range of values, and so we find ourselves in such a region.

That's it. That's all it means. I hope that's brief enough.
I should add that I have viewed about 100 lectures by Susskind ( Stanford series + others) and he has a lot of credibility with me.
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09-02-2010 , 07:07 PM
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Originally Posted by Concerto
There seem to be (at least) two different uses of "fine tuning" ITT. One talks about nature itself being fine tuned for life. The other talks about descriptions of nature being fined tuned to match what they describe.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fine-tuning

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In theoretical physics, fine-tuning refers to circumstances when the parameters of a model must be adjusted very precisely in order to agree with observations. Theories requiring fine-tuning are regarded as problematic in the absence of a known mechanism to explain why the parameters happen to have precisely the needed values. Explanations often invoked to resolve fine-tuning problems include natural mechanisms by which the values of the parameters may be constrained to their observed values, and the anthropic principle.

The necessity of fine-tuning leads to various problems that do not show that the theories are incorrect, in the sense of falsifying observations, but nevertheless suggest that a piece of the story is missing. For example, the cosmological constant problem (why is the cosmological constant so small?); the hierarchy problem; the strong CP problem, and others.

An example of a fine-tuning problem considered by the scientific community to have a plausible "natural" solution is the cosmological flatness problem, which is solved if inflationary theory is correct: inflation forces the universe to become very flat, answering the question of why the universe is today observed to be flat to such a high degree.
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09-02-2010 , 07:17 PM
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Originally Posted by David Steele
I would be interested in what you disagree with. The paragraph seems right to me.



Even formerly "Dreams of a Final Theory" Weinberg is in this camp.
For your sake, I'll give some of my opinions

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If for some unforeseen reason, the landscape turns out to be inconsistent – maybe for mathematical reasons, or because it disagrees with observation – I am pretty sure that physicists will go on searching for natural explanations of the world. But I have to say that if that happens, as things stand now we will be in a very awkward position. Without any explanation of nature’s fine-tunings we will be hard pressed to answer the ID critics. One might argue that the hope that a mathematically unique solution will emerge is as faith-based as ID.
I have a few non physics based statements and I'll get those out of the way. I think no matter what ever happens, there will be some IDiots who you can not convince, like there are in biology. I know that Susskind is saying that he doesn't think he will have any good arguments for them, but it is worth pointing out that no matter how good the arguments are there will be some who are opposed to it without understanding it. They may get smaller every decade and their average IQ might drop 10 points, but I don't think they will ever go away.

For Lenny's argument to work, you pretty much have to assume that paradigm shifts are over in physics. We are at the top of the mountain, and there are no game changing experimental or theoretical breakthroughs that are going to unseat KKLT and the multi vacuum theories. I don't see this as a given. I think experimental results or mathematical breakthroughs can recast previous results and a more focused version of string theory will give rise to new problems and at the same time perhaps not solve current problems but show that the questions are not the right questions. It is certainly possible that he is correct. You mentioned that Susskind has a good reputation in your eyes. He has a very, very goor reputation in my eyes but when you are talking about something like predicting what physics will look like in 50 years, even people as good as Susskind are likely to be wrong. Imagine what Feynman or Gell-Man would have said in 1950 about the physics of 2000. There wouldn't be anything remotely correct.

Last edited by Max Raker; 09-02-2010 at 07:29 PM.
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09-02-2010 , 07:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
Do you see that that is not how you are using it?
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09-02-2010 , 07:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
That's one, and then there is:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fine-tuned_Universe
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09-02-2010 , 07:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
So the argument is basically...

The universe allows for the kind of life that we are a part of.
If the universe had a different set of physics, life might have significantly different properties, or might not exist.
Therefore, we must all have an invisible, formless daddy outside observation that did it all and cares about us?

Let's assume that your premises are correct....where does that get you? As far as I can tell, all that allows you to do is deduce that the universe allows for life, not that it is particularly interested in it, or that life is the main, or even an important by product in a part of some greater cosmic purpose.

This is supported by the fact that it took modern humans some 13 billion years to evolve, and some 4 billion years to evolve after Earth had already formed. If the universe is fine tuned for humans, why did it need to take 13 billion years for them to form? That seems like an incredibly slow process filled with immense suffering for the previous generations that didn't have things like air conditioning, heating, clean water, or TV dinners.

For some reason I don't think starving neanderthals stalking animals in the blazing desert in order to eat a small amount of uncooked meat and then eventually dying do not share your idea that things in the universe are set up particularly well for humans to thrive.

And how about replying to the actual OP of this thread?

God's characteristics, almost always portrayed as being perfect in every way, would be the ultimate argument for a fine tuning. Why do you think that the universe needs god, but god, something infinitely more grand and infinitely more "fine tuned" for perfection, does not need some kind of explanation?

It's clear that all you do here is fantasize.

You are not special. But as demonstrated in earlier threads with you, you cannot get over the fantasy that you are. This is what keeps you from seeing reality.

Last edited by rizeagainst; 09-02-2010 at 07:56 PM.
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09-02-2010 , 08:46 PM
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Originally Posted by Max Raker
For Lenny's argument to work, you pretty much have to assume that paradigm shifts are over in physics.
Its clear that you don't understand Susskind's position. It doesn't require any paradigm shift. All he is saying is that the universe is a very very very big place and the value of certain constants will differ on locality. Same old theories still apply....same paradigm applies.
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09-02-2010 , 09:01 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
You haven't really put forth much of an argument. Deorum did and I crushed it.
I do not think you actually think this but that you are just a bit frustrated. But let us try another approach to help clarify your mistakes. Your argument takes the form,

- If the universe appears fine tuned then it would have these features.
- It has these features.
- Therefore, the universe is fine tuned.

You are committing a logical fallacy here called affirming the consequent. Specifically,

- If P then Q.
- Q.
- Therefore, P.

This is logically invalid because P does not necessarily follow from Q even if Q necessarily follow from P. The 'fixed values' I was suggesting is an instance of that. The universe cannot appear fine tuned if the concept of fine fining does not make sense. This is why you must first demonstrate that fine tuning makes sense before you can claim that the universe appears fine tuned. You are making the positive claim. The onus is on you to ensure it makes sense in the first place.
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09-02-2010 , 09:20 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu Pidasso
Its clear that you don't understand Susskind's position. It doesn't require any paradigm shift. All he is saying is that the universe is a very very very big place and the value of certain constants will differ on locality. Same old theories still apply....same paradigm applies.
Lol, add comprehending basic english to your "to do" list.
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09-02-2010 , 09:26 PM
Max, my physics training was both basic and a couple of decades ago. String theory was 'the next big thing' or 'the most recent delusion' depending on who you spoke to, so I don't really know anything about it. At the time, as far as I was aware, they couldn't actually do any calculations nor make any predictions - it was more along the lines of "this would be a mathematically neat way to structure the universe...maybe it's like that".

Are you able to give a layman account of how things have progressed? Has it actually made any concrete predictions (or have any of the various versions)? Does it reduce/increase or otherwise affect the number of 'fundamental constants' or place any meaningful restrictions on them?

Again I have done a dangerously small amount of physics - enough to recognise words without actually understanding much of it. I'd appreciate your perspective though, even if it's speculative or outside your usual field (what is that, btw - I always assumed it was cosmology because that's what we usually talk about, I guess).
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09-02-2010 , 09:32 PM
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Originally Posted by bunny
Max, my physics training was both basic and a couple of decades ago. String theory was 'the next big thing' or 'the most recent delusion' depending on who you spoke to, so I don't really know anything about it. At the time, as far as I was aware, they couldn't actually do any calculations nor make any predictions - it was more along the lines of "this would be a mathematically neat way to structure the universe...maybe it's like that".

Are you able to give a layman account of how things have progressed? Has it actually made any concrete predictions (or have any of the various versions)? Does it reduce/increase or otherwise affect the number of 'fundamental constants' or place any meaningful restrictions on them?

Again I have done a dangerously small amount of physics - enough to recognise words without actually understanding much of it. I'd appreciate your perspective though, even if it's speculative or outside your usual field (what is that, btw - I always assumed it was cosmology because that's what we usually talk about, I guess).
There have not been any clean, straightforward predictions. 2 general ones are supersymmetry and extra dimensions. The problem is that theory doesn't tell us how big the extra dimensions are or how heavy super partners should be, so it is sort of unfalsifiable in a sense right now. IMO, a ton of progress has been made, the Maldacena conjecture and math topics like mirror symmetry are very active and fruitful areas. But while this progress is being made it seems like we find more and more things that we need to know so the general feeling is that we are not anywhere near finishing string theory anytime soon. If you were in a physics department in the late 80s or early 9os, people would have felt like they were alot closer even though it turned out that they weren't.
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