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11-01-2009 , 11:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ILOVEPOKER929
I would still bet that a higher % of scientists enjoy being wrong vs the overall population. All I have is armchair logic to back this up though. Would you agree with that claim? I agree that the "Scientists love being wrong" meme is a myth.
Maybe we do not disagree. I think we are trying to fit a black and white answer to a question that has shades of grey. Consider three scenarios:

1. General relativity is generally accepted as a valid theory for gravity by scientists. If it were found to be wrong in some way, aside from close scrutiny of the new theory scientists in general would be very happy with the improvement and not horrible discomfited for being wrong.

2. A personal experience. I was at a conference on surface phenomena and was attending a presentation on LEED studies of catalytic surfaces. The presenter was correlating LEED pattern changes with surface structure models and made a massive error in attributing the patterns to structures that was pointed out by an audience member. The error was unfortunately unarguable and obvious once pointed out and the presenter was left stunned and silent for what seemed like a very long time until the forum moderator ended the talk. I guarantee that scientist was not happy to be wrong and that his career and funding undoubtedly suffered given the visibility of the error and the nature of the audience.

3. String theory. Not established experimentally but is being heavily explored as a vehicle for unifying gravity with the other forces. Ed Witten has been at least one of the strongest advocates for that formalism if not the single most important. If it turns out to be "right" then he may well be a Nobel winner and will certainly be ranked with Newton and Einstein as a "great mind" of theoretical physics. If it is not, then he still is a brilliant and important contributor whose reputation and funding will be intact, but the superlatives will not be there. I am speculating of course, but my guess is that he will not be happy to be proven wrong in that event.

The point is that scientists are not that different from anyone else. The amount of resistance to being wrong is dependent on the personal stake in the position.
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11-01-2009 , 12:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RLK
Maybe we do not disagree. I think we are trying to fit a black and white answer to a question that has shades of grey. Consider three scenarios:

1. General relativity is generally accepted as a valid theory for gravity by scientists. If it were found to be wrong in some way, aside from close scrutiny of the new theory scientists in general would be very happy with the improvement and not horrible discomfited for being wrong.

2. A personal experience. I was at a conference on surface phenomena and was attending a presentation on LEED studies of catalytic surfaces. The presenter was correlating LEED pattern changes with surface structure models and made a massive error in attributing the patterns to structures that was pointed out by an audience member. The error was unfortunately unarguable and obvious once pointed out and the presenter was left stunned and silent for what seemed like a very long time until the forum moderator ended the talk. I guarantee that scientist was not happy to be wrong and that his career and funding undoubtedly suffered given the visibility of the error and the nature of the audience.

3. String theory. Not established experimentally but is being heavily explored as a vehicle for unifying gravity with the other forces. Ed Witten has been at least one of the strongest advocates for that formalism if not the single most important. If it turns out to be "right" then he may well be a Nobel winner and will certainly be ranked with Newton and Einstein as a "great mind" of theoretical physics. If it is not, then he still is a brilliant and important contributor whose reputation and funding will be intact, but the superlatives will not be there. I am speculating of course, but my guess is that he will not be happy to be proven wrong in that event.
Excellent post RLK. I have always assumed #1 to be by and large true. #2 would be humiliating so I agree with you there. In #3, I would bet that Witten wants to be "proven" right also. He's only human.

Quote:
Originally Posted by RLK
The point is that scientists are not that different from anyone else. The amount of resistance to being wrong is dependent on the personal stake in the position.
Yep that seems true to me. In fact in my claim: "That scientists are more likely to enjoy being wrong than someone from the overall population" I'll have to eliminate personal stake for it to have a chance of holding up. In areas where there is no personal stake, where nothing more than the pride of being right is on the line, I think my claim would pass the test. I think the smarter someone becomes the more likely he'll be able to control that nasty emotion of wanting to be right. Conversely, the dumber someone is the more stubborn he'll be in his positions, and the more likely he'll value being right at the expense of learning something new.
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11-01-2009 , 12:40 PM
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Originally Posted by zugzwang83
lol what. are you seriously this stupid? what makes you think the general population gets the nod here, EVER? scientists are the ONLY people i have ever heard promoting the idea of loving to be wrong. regardless of what % you think it is, saying they enjoy it less than the general public is clearly moronic. science is the only thing i can think of off the top of my head where being wrong is 99% of the time a good thing - it has just increased our body of knowledge.

also, please cite your ******edness about a scientists job being threatened because he was wrong. and no, cases where falsifying data was included does not count for this. neither do anecdotes from the 15th century where a king had his scientist beheaded for not predicting accurately where jupiter would be.
I'm not sure what you guys are all missing about this. When scientists talk about enjoying being wrong, they are probably exaggerating to make a point - that being proved wrong means we know something we didn't previously know.

What scientists really like is proving somebody ELSE wrong. These are people, not heroic selfless society-advancing machines.
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11-01-2009 , 01:28 PM
I agree 100% with the last two posts.
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11-01-2009 , 04:20 PM
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Originally Posted by Autocratic
I'm not sure what you guys are all missing about this. When scientists talk about enjoying being wrong, they are probably exaggerating to make a point - that being proved wrong means we know something we didn't previously know.

What scientists really like is proving somebody ELSE wrong. These are people, not heroic selfless society-advancing machines.
in case you missed my first reply itt:

Quote:
Originally Posted by zugzwang83
Agree with your first sentence, but only because I disagree with the last sentence. It is certainly not 100% of them that love being wrong, but I think a distinction might need to be made - they are a bit more guarded about accepting being wrong when someone ELSE proves their work wrong than when they do it themselves.
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11-01-2009 , 05:37 PM
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What scientists really like is proving somebody ELSE wrong.
Now this I can agree with.
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11-01-2009 , 06:38 PM
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Originally Posted by Pletho
That will happen in the future by the way, someone is going to do great signs and miracles but they will not be in harmony with the principles of the bible, and since no one really cares about accuracy they will be tricked....

Its happening today on a smaller scale, test runs you might say, Benny Hinn is one of the false ones... There are many others.......
What if Jesus was the fake one, trying to get people away from the OT. And the new one will come down saying, "Hey Guys! It's the OT we have to follow, that Jesus guy was tricking you! He just got here ahead of me. God doesn't even know that guy! You're all going to hell unless you start keeping kosher!"
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11-01-2009 , 08:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
What if Jesus was the fake one, trying to get people away from the OT. And the new one will come down saying, "Hey Guys! It's the OT we have to follow, that Jesus guy was tricking you! He just got here ahead of me. God doesn't even know that guy! You're all going to hell unless you start keeping kosher!"
!
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11-01-2009 , 09:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
What if Jesus was the fake one, trying to get people away from the OT. And the new one will come down saying, "Hey Guys! It's the OT we have to follow, that Jesus guy was tricking you! He just got here ahead of me. God doesn't even know that guy! You're all going to hell unless you start keeping kosher!"
No hell in the OT. Loving Jesus brought that idea to us.
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11-01-2009 , 11:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Autocratic
What scientists really like is proving somebody ELSE wrong. These are people, not heroic selfless society-advancing machines.
There ya go.
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11-01-2009 , 11:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
What if Jesus was the fake one, trying to get people away from the OT. And the new one will come down saying, "Hey Guys! It's the OT we have to follow, that Jesus guy was tricking you! He just got here ahead of me. God doesn't even know that guy! You're all going to hell unless you start keeping kosher!"
Well.... you'd have to read the NT. Jesus keeps quoting from it, so He can't be trying to get anyone away from it and He makes a pretty clear point about it not being what goes into your mouth that defiles you but what comes out, and then later let's everyone know they can eat whatever.
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11-01-2009 , 11:26 PM
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Originally Posted by ILOVEPOKER929
No hell in the OT. Loving Jesus brought that idea to us.
Misinterpreting Scripture brought that idea to us - Jesus never said the word "hell" as I have pointed out previously.

Some Hellenized Jews did believe there was a hell to go to, though.
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11-02-2009 , 12:05 AM
religious threads never disappoint, pointless bickering and lots of lulz.
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