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01-15-2012 , 04:28 PM

#126

elrey

‏

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,534

Quote:

Originally Posted by gregorio

elrey, i lost a bet so i can't change it. i'm sorry. i have always admired your ability to choose an avatar that sets you apart from everyone else.

this is just so witty gets the recognition he deserves

01-15-2012 , 04:28 PM

#127

Abe008

I ARE just biebwr
but not a mod

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 12,139

01-15-2012 , 04:29 PM

#128

AlligatorBloodFTW

banned

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 6,425

i never understand Panda's posts

01-15-2012 , 04:29 PM

#129

gregorio

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 39,313

Quote:

Originally Posted by nham

well i normally skip over both of your posts so it's just easier

lol elrey

01-15-2012 , 04:30 PM

#130

AlligatorBloodFTW

banned

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 6,425

it's clearly a go for it situation that's why everyone always does. only the cowboys fail 40% of the time. for most teams it's probably like 75% chance of success.

01-15-2012 , 04:30 PM

#131

gregorio

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 39,313

brickie, you watching the game with some weird UK commentators or normal american style?

01-15-2012 , 04:30 PM

#132

EvanWilliams

4L Triviabang & FF League 1 Champ

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 6,336

Quote:

Originally Posted by Francis M.H.

theyre more likely at least 60% there to score which gives them 4.2 expected points

but they are ahead, shouldnt that play into the calculation somehow?

reduce variance

01-15-2012 , 04:31 PM

#133

phil0pp

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 3,589

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlligatorBloodFTW

i never understand Panda's posts

you aint on his level

01-15-2012 , 04:31 PM

#134

Da33le

leader of the normals

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 8,410

who is playing so I know who to google plz

01-15-2012 , 04:31 PM

#135

Penguino

centurion

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 99

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlligatorBloodFTW

it's clearly a go for it situation that's why everyone always does. only the cowboys fail 40% of the time. for most teams it's probably like 75% chance of success.

You obviously haven't seen the falcons try 4th and 1

01-15-2012 , 04:32 PM

#136

Francis M.H.

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,701

Quote:

Originally Posted by EvanWilliams

but they are ahead, shouldnt that play into the calculation somehow?

reduce variance

always maximize points

01-15-2012 , 04:32 PM

#137

gregorio

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 39,313

woat pass

01-15-2012 , 04:32 PM

#138

phil0pp

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 3,589

giving it to yates at the one against balt d vs kicking off should also factor in. also if they make it that kinda destroys houstons momentum

01-15-2012 , 04:32 PM

#139

Francis M.H.

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,701

Quote:

Originally Posted by Penguino

You obviously haven't seen the falcons try 4th and 1

those are the right calls by mike smith. sometimes theyve been bad play calls, other times just bad luck

01-15-2012 , 04:32 PM

#140

gregorio

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 39,313

Quote:

Originally Posted by Da33le

who is playing so I know who to google plz

baltimore colts and houston oilers

01-15-2012 , 04:33 PM

#141

Da33le

leader of the normals

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 8,410

Last edited by Da33le; 01-15-2012 at 04:34 PM. Reason: :/

01-15-2012 , 04:33 PM

#142

gregorio

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 39,313

i can punt that far

01-15-2012 , 04:33 PM

#143

Francis M.H.

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,701

you guys should read bill barnwell's articles on grantland.com. he does better explaining this **** then me

01-15-2012 , 04:34 PM

#144

Penguino

centurion

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 99

Quote:

Originally Posted by Francis M.H.

those are the right calls by mike smith. sometimes theyve been bad play calls, other times just bad luck

I agree, but I was just talking about the results.

01-15-2012 , 04:35 PM

#145

phil0pp

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 3,589

i dont buy into always go for it 4th and 1 but deep inside their 5 with an elite d gogogogogo

01-15-2012 , 04:35 PM

#146

elrey

‏

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,534

you all really dont understand football

01-15-2012 , 04:35 PM

#147

nham

34oz

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 10,649

o look i'm j2 here's a pic of food i ate today everyone care btw it's homegrown cheese from cows i raised from infancy and eggs from an organic farm down the road

01-15-2012 , 04:35 PM

#148

Francis M.H.

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,701

Quote:

Originally Posted by Penguino

I agree, but I was just talking about the results.

dont be so results oriented then

01-15-2012 , 04:36 PM

#149

Abe008

I ARE just biebwr
but not a mod

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 12,139

I'm not sure what's worse, the number of ads shown during a football game in America or the analysis we have to watch/listen to while the ads are on American telly.

01-15-2012 , 04:36 PM

#150

EvanWilliams

4L Triviabang & FF League 1 Champ

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 6,336

Quote:

Originally Posted by Francis M.H.

always maximize points

shouldnt you also calculate Houston's chances of scoring X amt of points and Baltimore's ability to score X more points in a given time frame, cause time is limited

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