Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDetective
I am not a trader but a buy and hold investor. I have made a lot of money investing. I never thought that I would be able to have a strategy as to how to earn super high returns by short-term trading. However, I believe in looking at everything that you say and just using you as a great contrarian indicator. Studying the anecdotal evidence, if we buy when you say sell and sell when you say buy, we will make a lot of money following that strategy.
you would be almost wiped out following that strategy. so buying italian bonds at 6-8% yield was bad? buying greek stocks when the athex was at 600 was bad? buying eurozone equities last year was bad? investing in russia at the end of 2008 was bad? investing into german real estate in 2008 was bad? investing into japanese equities a month ago was bad (still time to evaluate that one though) you might be right about the 2 days or months after my claim, you might have made a profit on average shorting, but you surely got slaughtered in the long run. regarding gold i have also stated that it would return to the mean within 5-10 years roughly 1.5 yeats ago.
i also called the rebound in us housing last year to occur now.