Hi guys,
The other night I was at a live table and this hand got played. Im just a rookie and play for fun.
Now after it happened i showed my hands and everyone at the table been telling me since that what I did was wrong.
Cash game 20/40, 9man table
Started with 3k and grinded to 12k then this action unfolded:
http://mysmp.me/h_pUD
In my mind, I'm obviously behind will be pushed to all in at turn.
They argue that I should either reraise or at least call and see the turn.
In my mind, i am beat and to chase the flush, it will cost me my whole stack and I will only get the flush 25% of the time.
So if bet 12k to win 16k and i only win 25% of the times, the my mind the following would be like this:
If we play this hand 10 times,
I bet 12k
Can win 16k
25% of the times I will win: 16,16,8, thats 40k profit
75% of the i will loose: 12,12,12,12,12,12,12,6, thats 90 loss
Now, my friends tell me my math are wrong and that i should always call.
Can someone really good poker player tell me the real math and logic and what to do.
Thanks