Quote:
Originally Posted by monikrazy
I don't think villain should ever have 5c so this river is probably a call
Hero also has medium pairs with a club a lot more than the a or k of clubs, also hands without a club (idk what villain thinks turn lead represents but if he has put hero on a weak range hero seems to close to the top to fold)
If hero isn't calling this bet why check?
I think it's just one of those spots where you get shown the nuts ~always at 2/5 (or frequently enough for it to be a fold). There's a few things happening here:
1- the overbet shove is virtually always the nuts at these stakes. Doesn't matter how weird the line is or how fishy the shove looks, it's just always the nuts ime
2- guy plays super passively all hand then goes insane on river. If you ever do see the rare 2/5 overbet shove, it's a guy 3b/b/b/b or otherwise trying to put on max pressure, not what you see here
3- I don't give 2/5 villains enough credit to turn a made hand into a bluff here and villain basically has to have a made hand. At higher stakes someone will turn 99 or TT into a bluff here because while they may be good, it looks like hero may fold his entire range anyway, so why not bet. People don't do that at 2/5 nearly enough.
All those factors combined make it a fold for me. I would legit consider folding Ac here too.