Quote:
Originally Posted by jrr63
Seems to me he could have a jack pretty readily. JJ would be the obvious possibility that could play this way. JTdd is also a hand that might be played like this. Agree that river is a fold not a raise.
I would expect JJ to 3-bet preflop a very high percent of the time, but for sure some times V shows up with JJ.
But there are still a lot of Jx comboes V could have (e.g. AJ, KJ, JT, J9, J8, QJ, J7 etc.)
I have a hard time finding sufficient Jx holdings to get to the river ..... which have not raised earlier.
I mean, it would be fair to assume that most JT, J9, JJ hands raise on turn as still is a draw heavy board and you can deny V some EV by pushing V out of the pot.
So the majority of you hands are between few Jx holdings and many flush draws and some pair +draw holdings (e.g. 97, 98, 96, 86).
If you are to balance that you will have way more bluffs on river that Jx holdings