Quote:
Originally Posted by SwolyswoND
If we're targeting hands like Q5s as well, then I don't see a reason not to size down the river bet. If we put lesser Qx in V's range, then I'm fine with the triple barrel but still not at this sizing.
Hero is not polarized in this river spot, so we shouldn't be betting as if we were.
How polar we are is somewhat a function of the looseness of our and our opponent’s ranges. I.e., how many bluffs can we reasonably have here, and how many bluff catchers does the villain have?
If we’re opening fairly light in LP, and barreling with a high enough frequency against a loose player, then I think we could certainly consider ourselves to be polarized here. We just need enough bluffs, and villain needs enough bluff catchers (that is weaker paired hands that can win vs our air).
If we were playing a pretty tight TAG style or simply don’t cbet/double barrel much, then it’s probably hard to have many good bluffs here, and therefore we would want to bet smaller.
Similarly, if villain is fairly tight, then they’re going to have too many strong hands vs weak bluff catchers, and it gets more and more difficult to value bet this spot at all with AQ (and as that starts happening, I think yes, we’d want to begin sizing down).
Also, in a sense, we are betting small. We’re only betting 180 when we could be betting up to 880. Theoretically, it’s probably correct to shove the nuttiest parts of our range (eg KT) and a couple Tx bluffs. I know very few of us here in LLSNL actually overbet rivers with any real frequency, and especially not in a balanced way. But just don’t think that a 3/4 PSB is representative of a max sizing.