Quote:
Originally Posted by apricotjello
I don’t think I can ever flat the river when i’m at the near top of my value range. the only better hands I get to the river with are JTs (1 combo), KQ (6 offsuit combos.)
meanwhile I see many hands that might call the raise (Qx, JJ, many flushes, some sticky Ax that didn’t bet flop even?)
Right we hope he has exactly Qx, JJ, a flush, or a T.
Meanwhile, with everything else, villain knows he can either bluff us or value-3-bet us.
I won't say a river raise is BAD, i just don't like it in a situation where we have so much showdown value but we're not prepared in advance for how to handle a (rather probable) re-raise. Often that plan comes from intuition, but in your case, it took you by surprise and put you in a spot you didn't want to be in. (evidenced by you tanking on the decision)
It just feels like the villain is likely to have a much more accurate read on our range than vice versa, and it puts us at a disadvantage. These are the situations I want to proceed with caution.
Maybe it's bias because I read the hand history, but if I were the villain, your play feels too passive for me to think you have KQ or JTdd. If you 4-bet the river, then I re-evaluate that assumption. (For the same reason that I think a 4-bet from you is suicide: villains range much more likely to contain nutted hands like AA KK AQ KQ JTdd)