Quote:
Originally Posted by grandmaster flush
hey Leon what do you hold in tdb when dealt Ac Qc and three other garbage cards. woo says to hold the A and Q, and by a pretty good margin. I always just hold the Ace, figuring drawing three more aces and a kicker would be easier(lol) then getting the other three to a royal, but it looks like ive been wrong, and ive been playing this wrong for years. I also do this on double double, and so that looks way wrong.
also, for years now if i get dealt KKQQ5, i just hold one pair, going for quads, and that hand analyzer says this is the biggest mistake ive been making. Ive been playing this stuff wrong for the past 10 years lol.
edit-yeah, i guess i just thought about it and when holding the A and Q and going for the royal, you need three exact cards, and when holding one ace, you need three exact cards plus one of 12 other cards, so the royal is more likely i guess
I hold both high cards as WOO says, and two pair in your other example as well. In other words, I basically play by the book/highest expectation.
The way you have to think about it is, "which play gives me the best expectation overall"? The reason A Q is so much better is the chance of making a straight, paying pair, flush, etc- all the other hands which you're forgetting about. It's not just "chance of a royal" vs "chance of 4 aces". The chance of either of those is so low, that's not what is going to make the difference here in the long run. What matters more are the vast majority of times you're going to make something "else", and that chance is vastly improved by holding AQ.
There was a brief time I used to hold just one (paying) pair vs two pair as in your example as well. I stopped once I looked at the math and realized that your chances of turning a pair into quads are pretty low, and even then most of the time it's "only" 250 credits. Much better to take the much higher likelihood of making a full, survive and move on to the next hands in the hopes they'll be premium.
About the only example I can think of where holding just a pair like kings instead of two pair may be correct is that "Shockwave" version of the game. If you didn't know, basically if you make quads, you then have ten hands to make quads again. If you do, the quads pay as much as a royal! So once you're in shockwave mode, it makes sense from an expectation standpoint to play very aggressively for quads. Two pair is no good- you have ZERO chance of quads. Stuff like that.