Quote:
Originally Posted by LordRiverRat
In my personal opinion, unless you're crushing 5/10+, being any poker pro sucks balls.
You've listed a 30% discount on nominal winnings (100k to 70k) to compare a salary to a winrate but I think the discount should be more. Like at least 50%, probably closer to 60-70% if you factor in benefits. Variable money is worth less than certain money (it's about 30-50% alone) and then you have like the 20-40% discount for benefits.
Whether 100k sucks balls or not really depends on your alternatives. If you don't have a lot of skills, a Certainty Equivalent of $50,000/year is pretty good. If you're giving up a career as a nurse (high wages, high job security) to play poker, you're going to want much more.
As you move up in stakes, the hourly wage isn't as important as the yearly. Do you have to be "on call" to scramble to the casino whenever your preferred game runs? Does it run often and long enough? Can your opponents stand losing a living wage to you? Can you have a reasonable personal life on top of all this?
Fundamentally, people tend to get paid relative to the rarity of their skill. If something pays disproportionately well (like "website developer" in the late 90s or "poker pro" in yhe mid 00s or "social media consultant" in the mid 10s), people tend to flock into those fields until the pay equalizes. Poker is solidly contracting at this point, and you just shouldn't expect low effort high reward from it. Either put in the high effort to get high reward or settle for low effort low reward.
Trying to find nut low housing and living the nut low lifestyle is only a short term solution. The rest of the world gets raises and promotions and over time your winrate gets diluted by inflation and if you don't study and give yourself a raise and don't move up (promotion), you just end up old, bitter, and alone, grumbling about the world passing you by and "kids these days."