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Originally Posted by Fore
Can you cite your source for this claim? I have actually heard much lower numbers than 10%. But it really depends on the specific circumstances. And none of this mentions the severity protection the vaccines also provide. The chance of severe case or death is even lower.
Btw my 10% was not a claim that the chances are 10%. I have heard lower and higher. It was just a number that made tha math easy. The reality is that if we can get reasonable penetration of the vaccines into the population, particularly among the more vulnerable, we can move past this and head back toward more normal. Covid very unlikely to disappear but also unlikely to be a major scourge in ten years or even five. The risk of severe cases or death among the vaccinated are very low in most all cases now. Should remain so unless a specific breakthrough mutation occurs. That is a risk but not only with covid but all viral diseases. Also while transmissibilypty will be selected toward the more successful variants so will the less lethal or severe mutations. That is that overtime a virus tends to spread easier but also be less deadly. IN GENERAL.
It is pretty widely accepted that your chances of contracting the virus are affected by the viral load that you are exposed to which increases based on proximity to infection, exposure time to infection and mitigating circumstances. If you are trapped in an elevator for 6 hours with an infected person without mitigation you are extremely likely to catch the virus, if you take a 30 sec elevator ride with an infected person then your chances of catching the virus is much, much less.
I didn't mention the effect of vaccines, which do reduce the likelihood of infection as you say, but if you are in an environment with a 100% chance of infection then you still have a 5% chance of infection. Your post implied that vaccination meant that your chance of infection was only 0.5% which is inaccurate and misleading as it is very situation specific.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
The mask requirement mostly just gives people a false sense of security. It's definitely not a big deterrent to the spread, at least it hasn't been in the way I've seen the mask requirements implemented.
If people don't want to be vaccinated that's their choice (their health). The chances that someone even gets the disease, much less suffers terribly from the disease after being vaccinated are minute. If people still don't feel safe after being vaccinated they should stay at home.
Here in TX everyone has had ample time to get multiple doses of the vaccine. The idea that I should be forced to wear a mask now, whether I'm vaccinated or not, is ridiculous. At this point, it's pretty much akin to requiring people to wear a mask to prevent the spread of the flu (which while not as deadly as covid-19, kills a ton of people in the US each year despite a large % of the population getting vaccinated).
The use of masks has never been about stopping virus spread, but reducing it. Even if the use of masks only reduced the reproduction rate from 3 to 2.9, that would mean a lot of lives saved and greatly reduced pressure on healthcare services. In truth, the use of masks reduced that rate by significantly more than 0.1 - it didn't stop the virus in its tracks but it did reduce its impact in a very cost effective and easy to implement way.
In much of Asia many people routinely wear facemasks when they are even mildly sick, not because they are forced to, but because they have sufficient social conscience to not want to spread their germs throughout their community. It is a great shame that so many people think that their minor personal inconvenience is of greater importance than the impact of their actions on the wider community in which they live.