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03-11-2021 , 06:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuvDaVlogs
Some VERY results oriented thinking posts in here about bike king that are unfair, the best in the world win at like a 5-10% ROI if hes crushing which he prob isnt, that means theres days when you lose, it isnt some grand miscalculation or something to learn from, sometimes you just lose. If he is 100-80 at one point, that will be an amazing feat
The best in the world are always looking for the next edge, making sure their information is correct, making sure their models are working properly, have the right data, etc... BikeKing seems to just have a blind trust in whatever his tout is telling him or the results of his "metrics." There seems to never be any type of introspection when he loses.
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03-11-2021 , 08:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Da_Nit
Three bets today with money on the two biggest favorites on the board including a huge road favorite with the Blues on a puck line -1.5 bet and a Carolina regulation bet. Also he’s still on Montreal. Art least he’s making hockey fun to track for a Texan. Thanks Andrew.
I agree. It's a nice change to talk hockey on here.
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03-11-2021 , 09:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Da_Nit
Three bets today with money on the two biggest favorites on the board including a huge road favorite with the Blues on a puck line -1.5 bet and a Carolina regulation bet. Also he’s still on Montreal. Art least he’s making hockey fun to track for a Texan. Thanks Andrew.

I'm not a big bettor but from what I understand, just betting the heavy favorites is a losing strategy because of the odds. You need to win too often to make money and when those upsets happen (especially during a long regular season like with hockey, basketball, and baseball) you lose too much compared to the little wins that you collect when the favorites hold.

If you're betting -180 and worse all the time or taking a high spread all the time to improve those odds, it further kills you. It seems like lowering odds by taking an "in regulation" bet or the -1.5 puck line is similar to parlaying favorites to get a better line. Just like going 3-0 is significantly harder than going 2-1, it is also much harder to pick a winner by 2 goals or just in regulation than just picking a winner flat out.

Also, if you're paying someone for picks, why don't you just follow their strategy. If you're going to do your own research, save the $1K and put it into your bankroll for a higher margin of error. If your units are $100 a piece, then that $1K is like starting out down 10 units from day 1. It only makes sense if you trust the advice and if it saves you time in doing research.

Heck, maybe BK can make this more interesting by having two separate trackers. His own picks versus the picks he bought. Make a third tracker of when they overlap and your research agrees with the bought picks. Would be fun to follow that over the whole season.
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03-11-2021 , 09:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VeniceMerchant
I agree. It's a nice change to talk hockey on here.

Ha well didn’t you say you played in the CHL?

Wow looks the Lightning are down 3 goals to Detroit. Unlikely he’s going to cover that -1.5 puck line bet.
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03-11-2021 , 09:58 PM
You are brutal.
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03-11-2021 , 10:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
You are brutal.

BK handicapping is brutal to his bankroll.
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03-11-2021 , 10:37 PM
this forum needs a new trip report.
somebody go to Vegas and write about it
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03-11-2021 , 10:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Langdon
this forum needs a new trip report.
somebody go to Vegas and write about it

2nd that, I’m hopeful to make the trip this summer.
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03-11-2021 , 11:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Langdon
this forum needs a new trip report.
somebody go to Vegas and write about it
I'm game, but I'm not going until July. Leon will have half a dozen by then.
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03-11-2021 , 11:33 PM
Even I wouldn't bet on MTL tonight.

Taking CGY all day long... for tonight only.
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03-11-2021 , 11:37 PM
Very insightful after Calgary is up 2-0 after 2 periods. lol
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03-11-2021 , 11:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
Very insightful after Calgary is up 2-0 after 2 periods. lol
I just saw that myself...
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03-12-2021 , 12:00 AM
Quick notes on less popular poker vloggers:
I'm liking Mariano vlogs, and he's hardly mentioned in here. I'm not a huge fan of Raising the Nuts, though I miss his "play every hand challenge" vids. I get super bored whenever he does analysis. It happens whenever Matt Vaughan does analysis too.

Totally unrelated to poker but a Vegas hotel reviewer: check out pompsie. he does very quick vegas hotel reviews. He recently did a review of the westgate huge suite that they put Andrew/Brad in. That one is more like an infomercial for westgate as pompsie was given the room and food just for a video. But his other reviews are mostly honest.
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03-12-2021 , 12:39 AM
A rare behind the scenes look at a random day in my life. Video courtesy of Michael Bailey, who produced "For Love or Money"

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03-12-2021 , 01:02 AM
I hope your dogs know not to play with rattlesnakes, assuming they are out there.

Do they ask for ID when cashing in a 1k chip?
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03-12-2021 , 01:10 AM
Have never seen any snakes in this part of the desert. Just rabbits and occasionally coyotes. No ID check for 1k chips. Maybe 5ks?
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03-12-2021 , 01:14 AM
For sure they do 5k, they have to verify where you got it. I guess they are not as concerned with 1k chips.
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03-12-2021 , 02:47 AM
Cant be bothered to post again, but another day of BK making great picks just being unlucky.
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03-12-2021 , 02:50 AM
He is always on the right side obviously.

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03-12-2021 , 03:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
He is always on the right side obviously.

He has to be trolling, right? No wonder he only plays daily tourneys only when there's overlays and grinds freeroll rooms. He can't beat a cash game long term for anything reasonable.

He needs to stop lying to himself that there's so much EV in these freerolls and overlay dailies that he HAS to play them vs 1-3 at rooms with better games and more action. Just admit he has no clue wtf he's talking about in hockey betting and he's not good enough to beat 1-3 cash which is embarrassing to say since the bar is so low to win.
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03-12-2021 , 03:51 AM
Bk and trooper are so similar. Zero ability to self reflect or make adjustments
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03-12-2021 , 06:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Koshka
He has to be trolling, right? No wonder he only plays daily tourneys only when there's overlays and grinds freeroll rooms. He can't beat a cash game long term for anything reasonable.

He needs to stop lying to himself that there's so much EV in these freerolls and overlay dailies that he HAS to play them vs 1-3 at rooms with better games and more action. Just admit he has no clue wtf he's talking about in hockey betting and he's not good enough to beat 1-3 cash which is embarrassing to say since the bar is so low to win.
No trolling. Every newb to sports.betting thinks that way.
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03-12-2021 , 09:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OFA
Bk and trooper are so similar. Zero ability to self reflect or make adjustments
Peter Pan Syndrome. BK will end up just like Trooper if he continues like this
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03-12-2021 , 11:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
He is always on the right side obviously.


BK is kinda of right the numbers from that Lightning game do support that they probably should’ve won that game and are a better team and would usually win a matchup with Detroit. That being said the Lightning was over -300 and these numbers don’t seem to support them winning 4 out 5 times or scoring 2 goals more than 55% of the time.

How he doesn’t see that is surprising.
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03-12-2021 , 01:44 PM
Wow, snowing at Red Rock. Isn't that where BK parks sometimes? I guess his heater works good.

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