Quote:
Originally Posted by acescracked84
Vibes just proved he knows nothing about variance and is actually just running super hot for 10,000 hours. This is very possible if you know anything about poker variance. Just ask DGAF. I turned off his Vlog as soon as he said this outrageous claim. What a total idiot. And very cocky, too. There's a difference between confidence and being oblivious to variance. Vibes thinks he's just entitled to win and a bad run won't happen to him. Give me a freaking break.
Just doing my best to be honest and transparent about the truth of live mid-stakes grinding. Between my brother Andrew, Kristy and I, we have approximately 40K hours of live poker experience. Sprinkle in probably another 10K in online experience. I can only go off of our truth. The longest break even stretch we've ever had between the 3 of us is 350 hours (by me), and it was early in my poker career.
There is an inverse relationship between skill level and variance. As skill levels increase variance is much more difficult to overcome. If I consistently sat at a table of 8 pros, the edges would be small and the variance would be high. However, consistently sitting at tables with weak players allows me to make a bold claim that "I think it's borderline impossible to lose over 150 hours." Also, in a cap game of $1K, it is really difficult to lose more than 200BBs at a time due to a cold deck. So even when negative variance does arrive, it's much easier to grind back. People balked at me making $150/hour over 5 years in $5/10 and now people balk at my latest claim. Things that seem so ordinary seem like a fallacy to others. Obviously a result of cognitive biases on both sides.
Also, I took a look at your recent posts on 2p2 and noticed a pattern of you saying everyone sucks at poker or is overrated. Something to think about and reflect on in my opinion.
Thanks to everyone for consuming the content. I obviously take a lot of pride in my production value and story telling and all the positive feedback has been amazing. Thank you again.