Quote:
Originally Posted by Chazley
Then it's a bit disingenuous to say that you're a $150/hr winner @ 5/10.
As JV said, it's impossible to have a $150/hr winrate at the Bellagio 5/10 for example. The max is only $1500, you've got a lot of Vegas pros that are in almost every game, straddling doesn't happen often, and you can only straddle UTG. $100/hr in that 5/10 game would make you an extremely good player.
Now, you go outside Vegas and find a 5/10 game, you're going to find some VERY juicy ones, and I assume San Diego qualified. I play $5/$5 in Texas and make more than a Bellagio $5/10 pro can. Why? The games are excellent, there's no buyin cap, no pros, there's up to a $20 straddle UTG or OTB (ends up being about $12-13/hand in straddles), and we can implement any rules at the table that we want (progressive button jackpot, 2-7, bomb pots, etc.) as long as everyone at the table agrees. So, I could say "I'm making 25 bb/hr at 5/5" and give no further context, but that wouldn't be right. It's essentially an uncapped 5/10.
My point? Context matters. 10 bb/hour is a figure often thrown around but it really means nothing unless you take into consideration every factor about the game you're playing in. I truly believe if you want to play poker for a living and you're living in Vegas you're doing it wrong (purely in terms of $/hr). The games are just so much better everywhere else and your hourly isn't capped by house rules.
So, if JV claims to make $150/hr playing 5/10, I believe it's both true and misleading. We have to know exact game details, and once we do, calling it 5/10 is likely going to turn out to be a bit generous. A $150/hr winrate @ 5/10/20(25) that is uncapped is fantastic and sustainable and would be much more believable.
And for the record, this is random af... Neeme seems to get very little credit for how good of a player he is. In this thread I've seen people say Owen=Neeme or Owen>Neeme and it's absurd. Brad Owen is not even close to Neeme's level as far as poker ability. If you want to get better at your game, don't watch training sites, watch every hand JohnnieVibes and Andrew Neeme have ever put into a vlog. JV is slightly better (imo) but they're both really ****ing good at poker and are absolute crushers. Getting their insight into how to approach every aspect of a hand shouldn't be free but they both deserve a ton of credit. Props.
Very good poast with lots of bullseye points. Especially the last part about Neeme doesent get enough credit for how good a player he is. Mostly people get hang up on that he is a bit of a callingstation on the river here and there, and forget about his overall ability.
Regarding Vibes claimed winrates and hourly though i totally agree with the people who call BS on some aspects of what he says, like Borg in this thread and other posters in the winrates thread in the LLSNL forum. As mentioned from others, i also dont think he is lying when he reports about his stats. I have no reason to believe he isnt telling the truth, cause he seems like a very humble,down to earth likeable guy. I just think he has been running superhot though and well above expectation for the sample he has logged over the last 5 years or how long he have been playing 5/10. $150 pr hour is not a sustainable winrate long term in 5/10 games, the people who think it is have been smacked with a long stretch of positive variance so their views is biased.
He woudnt be the first one to underestimate the enormous effect of variance in livepoker, and for sure not the last. Also DGAFs legendary thread in the medium/high full ring forum is good source when it comes to a better understanding of variance in live poker:the main theme there amongst several top players (OP included who have logged around 20 000 hours of NL livepoker) is that variance is vastly underrated for so so many players, even lot of good pros.
Like, i know part time grinders personally who have played weekends regurarly for 4-5 years who have ran well enough over that sample to never have hit a major downswing.They show up and never get set over setted 5 times in 2 sessions for stacks. They dont repeatedly get on the wrong side of unavoidable coolers for stacks. They never run KK into AA 4 times in the same session. They never get repeatedly 2 or 3 outed for stacks over and over and over again for scary long stretches. If you ask these people, the answer gives itself: they simply dont know how bad it can get because they havent experienced it themself, and what i am talking about have nothing to do with skillsets or variance that you can avoid with your style of playing/deep stacks or whatever. If the doomswitch is on,its on.