Quote:
Originally Posted by Soner
What are you putting her on when she calls a raise on the flop on that board that you think will fold to a jam on a semi safe card? 2 shouldn’t change anything.
I think based on the preflop raise, flop continuation and call on a raise it looks like a set or over pair. If you think the player is a thinking player, shove is great as this flop hits your calling range much better than her preflop raising range depending on position. Against people that overvalue high PPs, it’s a bad shove.
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I put her on what she had, an overpair, although I thought it would be bigger than 9s. I also thought she’d be able to let an overpair go when my hand looks very much like a set.
When my outs increased on the turn, it felt like a definite shove spot. Clearly I wrongly assessed her likelihood of folding, but I still suspect that it gets the job done against most players.
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